Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 63% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultAlaves to win ✓75% · @1.07
Double chanceAlaves or draw ✓88% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.95
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓72% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗7% · fair 14.69
Anaitasuna vs Alaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alaves travel to face Anaitasuna on Tuesday 10 November in the Copa Del Rey, with Campo Txerloia the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Alaves, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sevilla, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Anaitasuna 1.6 xG, Alaves 3.7 xG – a total near 5.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 86% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Anaitasuna 12%, draw 14%, Alaves 75%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anaitasuna 1–3 Alaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Anaitasuna12%fair 8.66 · @26.00
Draw14%fair 7.27 · @13.00
Alaves75%fair 1.34 · @1.07
5.26Expected goals
1.59Anaitasuna xG
3.67Alaves xG
63%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–37%
1–46%
1–26%
2–35%
2–45%
1–55%
From our goals model: Anaitasuna 1.6 – 3.7 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alaves to win✓
75%
1.34
1.07
Double chance
Alaves or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Alaves (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Alaves -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
1.03
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.83
First team to score
Alaves to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Alaves ahead at half-time✓
59%
1.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alaves / FT Alaves✓
54%
1.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
7%
14.69
–
Recent results
Anaitasuna – last 2
WW
3 Oct
@ Tedeón
5–2
W
26 Sep
vs Tedeón
5–0
W
5.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Alaves – last 6
DLDLLD
6 Nov
@ Sevilla
0–0
D
31 Oct
@ Barcelona
1–6
L
23 Oct
vs Malaga
1–1
D
18 Oct
@ Celta Vigo
1–2
L
10 Oct
vs Atletico Madrid
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Athletic Club
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anaitasuna and Alaves.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
On our numbers Anaitasuna have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Alaves 75%.
How many goals will there be in Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
We expect about 5.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
Our predicted score is Anaitasuna 1–3 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 5.3 goals in total.
When is Anaitasuna vs Alaves?
Anaitasuna vs Alaves (Copa Del Rey) kicks off on Tuesday 10 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Txerloia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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