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Fidelis Andria v Virtus Francavilla: numbers & prediction

Coppa Italia Serie D · Italy

Fidelis Andria

WWWDW
0–1
FT

Virtus Francavilla

WLWWL
Fidelis Andria 43%Draw 23%Virtus Francavilla 35% Expected goals 1.52 – 1.34
53%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.85Odds

Picks by market

ResultFidelis Andria to win ✗43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29

Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Virtus Francavilla travel to face Fidelis Andria on Wednesday 28 October in the Coppa Italia Serie D – the ball rolls at 20:30 WAT.

Current form

Fidelis Andria, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Nardò, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Virtus Francavilla, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Manfredonia, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Oct 2026) it ended Fidelis Andria 2–1 Virtus Francavilla.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fidelis Andria 1.5 xG, Virtus Francavilla 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fidelis Andria 43%, draw 23%, Virtus Francavilla 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fidelis Andria 2–1 Virtus Francavilla. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fidelis Andria43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.20
Virtus Francavilla35%fair 2.88 · @2.80
2.86Expected goals
1.52Fidelis Andria xG
1.34Virtus Francavilla xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Fidelis Andria 1.5 – 1.3 Virtus Francavilla expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFidelis Andria to win ✗43%2.342.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.95–
Draw no betFidelis Andria (draw no bet) ✗55%1.81–
Asian handicapVirtus Francavilla +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreFidelis Andria to score first ✗50%2.00–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fidelis Andria / FT Fidelis Andria ✗25%4.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.29–

Recent results

Fidelis Andria – last 6

WWWDWL
25 Oct@ Nardò3–1W
18 Octvs Virtus Francavilla2–1W
11 Oct@ Real Normanna1–0W
7 Octvs Bisceglie1–1D
4 Octvs Real Forio 20142–1W
27 Sep@ Turris0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Virtus Francavilla – last 6

WLWWLW
25 Octvs Manfredonia2–0W
18 Oct@ Fidelis Andria1–2L
11 Octvs Real Forio 20142–0W
7 Octvs Gravina3–0W
4 Oct@ Gravina2–4L
27 Sepvs Gladiator2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

18 Oct 2026Fidelis Andria v Virtus Francavilla2–1
Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla head-to-head page →

More Coppa Italia Serie D predictions

League hub
FT Valenzana3 Biellese0 121%3.60X22%3.60257%1.80 1.5–2.4xG X2Biellese or draw 79%@1.22 ✗
FT Caldiero Terme0 Cjarlins Muzane1 140%2.60X21%3.40239%2.30 1.3–1.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 52%@1.75 ✗
FT Gelbison0 Igea Virtus1 139%2.45X22%3.30239%2.50 2.0–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.75 ✗
FT Real Normanna6 L'Aquila0 162%1.42X21%4.10216%5.75 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✓
FT Piacenza2 Sasso Marconi Zola0 165%1.44X21%4.20213%5.50 1.9–0.7xG 1Piacenza to win 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Teramo0 Latte Dolce2 164%1.44X18%4.20217%5.50 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.53 ✗
FT Villa Valle1 Brusaporto0 149%2.00X22%3.25228%3.30 1.6–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 52%@1.70 ✓
FT Prato1 Ternana2 163%1.62X21%3.50216%4.75 2.3–1.1xG 1XPrato or draw 84%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?

On our numbers Fidelis Andria have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Virtus Francavilla 35%.

How many goals will there be in Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?

Our predicted score is Fidelis Andria 2–1 Virtus Francavilla, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla?

Fidelis Andria vs Virtus Francavilla (Coppa Italia Serie D) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.