Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers Prediction & Expected Goals (3 Nov) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultRaith Rovers to win ✗62% · @1.85

Double chanceEither team to win ✗83% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.62

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.23

Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Hamilton Academical welcome Raith Rovers to ZLX Stadium for a Challenge Cup fixture on Tuesday 3 November (20:45 WAT).

Current form

Hamilton Academical, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Montrose, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

Raith Rovers, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Arbroath, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Hamilton Academical, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Raith Rovers.

Head to head

When they last met (18 Jul 2026) it ended Hamilton Academical 1–1 Raith Rovers. The last 2 head-to-heads: Hamilton Academical 0 wins, Raith Rovers 0, draws 2. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Hamilton Academical 0.9 xG, Raith Rovers 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Hamilton Academical 21%, draw 17%, Raith Rovers 62%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Raith Rovers to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hamilton Academical 0–2 Raith Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Hamilton Academical21%fair 4.75 · @3.30

Draw17%fair 5.89 · @3.70

Raith Rovers62%fair 1.61 · @1.85

2.68Expected goals

0.88Hamilton Academical xG

1.80Raith Rovers xG

56%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%

0–211%

1–111%

1–210%

0–07%

0–37%

From our goals model: Hamilton Academical 0.9 – 1.8 Raith Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Raith Rovers to win ✗	62%	1.61	1.85 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	83%	1.20	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.78	1.62
Draw no bet	Raith Rovers (draw no bet)	75%	1.34	–
Asian handicap	Hamilton Academical +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.91	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	85%	1.18	1.14
First team to score	Raith Rovers to score first	63%	1.60	–
Half-time result	Raith Rovers ahead at half-time ✗	42%	2.36	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Raith Rovers / FT Raith Rovers ✗	37%	2.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	10%	10.23	–

Hamilton Academical – last 6

DDWWWW

31 Oct	vs Montrose	1–1	D
27 Oct	@ Ross County	1–1	D
24 Oct	vs East Fife	2–1	W
17 Oct	@ Airdrie United	2–1	W
13 Oct	@ Gala Fairydean Rovers	2–0	W
10 Oct	@ Alloa Athletic	3–0	W

1.8Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Raith Rovers – last 6

WLDWWL

31 Oct	@ Arbroath	4–0	W
24 Oct	vs Inverness CT	0–2	L
17 Oct	@ Stenhousemuir	1–1	D
10 Oct	vs Queen's Park	2–0	W
3 Oct	@ Morton	2–1	W
25 Sep	vs Livingston	0–2	L

1.5Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

On our numbers Hamilton Academical have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Raith Rovers 62%.

How many goals will there be in Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

Our predicted score is Hamilton Academical 0–2 Raith Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers?

Hamilton Academical vs Raith Rovers (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at ZLX Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Hamilton Academical v Raith Rovers: numbers & prediction