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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Spartans v Livingston: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Ainslie Park

Spartans

WWLDW
0–2
FT

Livingston

WWDLL
Spartans 15%Draw 23%Livingston 63% Expected goals 0.90 – 2.05
62%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultLivingston to win ✓63% · @1.38
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10

Spartans vs Livingston: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Tuesday 3 November: Spartans v Livingston in the Challenge Cup, played at Ainslie Park.

Current form

Spartans, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Annan Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Livingston, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Stenhousemuir, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Spartans 0.9 xG, Livingston 2.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Spartans 15%, draw 23%, Livingston 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Spartans 0–2 Livingston. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Spartans15%fair 6.87 · @7.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.00
Livingston63%fair 1.59 · @1.38
2.95Expected goals
0.90Spartans xG
2.05Livingston xG
60%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–37%
1–37%

From our goals model: Spartans 0.9 – 2.0 Livingston expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLivingston to win ✓63%1.591.38
Double chanceLivingston or draw ✓85%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.651.67
Draw no betLivingston (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapLivingston -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.621.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓79%1.271.25
First team to scoreLivingston to score first ✓66%1.52–
Half-time resultLivingston ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Livingston / FT Livingston ✗41%2.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.10–

Recent results

Spartans – last 6

WWLDWL
31 Octvs Annan Athletic3–2W
24 Oct@ Lochee United2–1W
17 Octvs Stranraer0–2L
13 Octvs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic1–1D
10 Oct@ Edinburgh City3–1W
3 Octvs Kelty Hearts0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Livingston – last 6

WWDLLW
30 Oct@ Stenhousemuir3–0W
24 Octvs Arbroath1–0W
17 Oct@ Dunfermline0–0D
10 Octvs Partick1–2L
3 Octvs Ayr Utd1–2L
25 Sep@ Raith Rovers2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Spartans and Livingston.

Spartans vs Livingston head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen U211 Queen's Park1 Pens 2–4 120%3.70X17%4.33263%1.65 1.1–2.1xG 2Queen's Park to win 63%@1.65 ✗
FT Airdrie United5 Elgin City0 163%1.70X21%3.70215%4.00 2.4–1.1xG 1XAirdrie United or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Annan Athletic0 Ayr Utd2 113%5.50X23%4.00264%1.45 0.8–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Queen of the South0 164%1.62X20%3.75216%4.33 2.0–0.9xG 1Arbroath to win 64%@1.62 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 Dunfermline4 118%8.00X17%4.75265%1.28 1.1–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Clydebank1 Alloa Athletic0 141%2.50X20%3.60239%2.35 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗
FT East Kilbride7 Stirling Albion3 163%1.50X22%4.00215%5.25 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.48 ✓
FT Edinburgh City0 Partick3 117%5.25X20%4.33263%1.45 0.9–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartans vs Livingston?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Spartans vs Livingston?

On our numbers Spartans have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Livingston 63%.

How many goals will there be in Spartans vs Livingston?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartans vs Livingston?

Our predicted score is Spartans 0–2 Livingston, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Spartans vs Livingston?

Spartans vs Livingston (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ainslie Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.