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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Stenhousemuir v Berwick Rangers: numbers & prediction

Challenge Cup · Scotland · Ochilview Park

Stenhousemuir

LLLDL
4–1
FT

Berwick Rangers

LLDLW
Stenhousemuir 71%Draw 15%Berwick Rangers 14% Expected goals 2.78 – 1.18
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultStenhousemuir to win ✓71% · @1.12
Double chanceStenhousemuir or draw ✓86% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.51

Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 3 November the Challenge Cup brings Stenhousemuir against Berwick Rangers at Ochilview Park. Kick-off: 20:45 WAT.

Current form

Stenhousemuir, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Livingston, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.

Berwick Rangers, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to East Stirlingshire, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Stenhousemuir 2.8 xG, Berwick Rangers 1.2 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Stenhousemuir 71%, draw 15%, Berwick Rangers 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stenhousemuir 2–1 Berwick Rangers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Stenhousemuir71%fair 1.40 · @1.12
Draw15%fair 6.82 · @7.00
Berwick Rangers14%fair 7.16 · @17.00
3.96Expected goals
2.78Stenhousemuir xG
1.18Berwick Rangers xG
57%Both score
73%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%

From our goals model: Stenhousemuir 2.8 – 1.2 Berwick Rangers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStenhousemuir to win ✓71%1.401.12
Double chanceStenhousemuir or draw ✓86%1.161.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.742.00 ▲
Draw no betStenhousemuir (draw no bet) ✓84%1.20–
Asian handicapStenhousemuir -1 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.131.10
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73%1.381.36
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.891.83
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗66%1.511.36
First team to scoreStenhousemuir to score first ✗69%1.45–
Half-time resultStenhousemuir ahead at half-time ✗54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stenhousemuir / FT Stenhousemuir ✗48%2.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.51–

Recent results

Stenhousemuir – last 6

LLLDLW
30 Octvs Livingston0–3L
27 Octvs Dunfermline0–1L
24 Oct@ Partick0–3L
17 Octvs Raith Rovers1–1D
10 Oct@ Inverness CT0–2L
25 Sep@ Ayr Utd1–0W
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Berwick Rangers – last 6

LLDLWL
31 Octvs East Stirlingshire2–5L
28 Oct@ Stirling University0–1L
24 Oct@ Gala Fairydean Rovers1–1D
17 Octvs Linlithgow Rose0–1L
13 Octvs Queen of the South1–0W
3 Oct@ Cowdenbeath0–4L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Stenhousemuir and Berwick Rangers.

Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers head-to-head page →

More Challenge Cup predictions

League hub
FT Aberdeen U211 Queen's Park1 Pens 2–4 120%3.70X17%4.33263%1.65 1.1–2.1xG 2Queen's Park to win 63%@1.65 ✗
FT Airdrie United5 Elgin City0 163%1.70X21%3.70215%4.00 2.4–1.1xG 1XAirdrie United or draw 85%@1.20 ✓
FT Annan Athletic0 Ayr Utd2 113%5.50X23%4.00264%1.45 0.8–2.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.67 ✓
FT Arbroath1 Queen of the South0 164%1.62X20%3.75216%4.33 2.0–0.9xG 1Arbroath to win 64%@1.62 ✓
FT Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2 Dunfermline4 118%8.00X17%4.75265%1.28 1.1–2.3xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.44 ✓
FT Clydebank1 Alloa Athletic0 141%2.50X20%3.60239%2.35 1.6–1.6xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.50 ✗
FT East Kilbride7 Stirling Albion3 163%1.50X22%4.00215%5.25 2.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.48 ✓
FT Edinburgh City0 Partick3 117%5.25X20%4.33263%1.45 0.9–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?

On our numbers Stenhousemuir have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Berwick Rangers 14%.

How many goals will there be in Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?

Our predicted score is Stenhousemuir 2–1 Berwick Rangers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers?

Stenhousemuir vs Berwick Rangers (Challenge Cup) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Ochilview Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.