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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boreham Wood v Wigan: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Meadow Park
0–3
FT

Wigan

DWLLL
Boreham Wood 64%Draw 22%Wigan 13% Expected goals 2.79 – 1.35
87%
Betarazi pick

Boreham Wood or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.22Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBoreham Wood to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceBoreham Wood or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Boreham Wood vs Wigan: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wigan travel to face Boreham Wood on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup, with Meadow Park the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Boreham Wood, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Hartlepool, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 3.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Wigan, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Mansfield Town, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Boreham Wood, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Wigan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boreham Wood 2.8 xG, Wigan 1.4 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boreham Wood 64%, draw 22%, Wigan 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Boreham Wood or draw (87%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.53.
  • Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Boreham Wood or draw (87%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boreham Wood 2–1 Wigan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boreham Wood64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.20
Wigan13%fair 7.48 · @4.20
4.14Expected goals
2.79Boreham Wood xG
1.35Wigan xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
1–16%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Boreham Wood 2.8 – 1.4 Wigan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoreham Wood to win ✗64%1.551.70 ▲
Double chanceBoreham Wood or draw ✗87%1.151.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗65%1.541.53
Draw no betBoreham Wood (draw no bet) ✗83%1.21–
Asian handicapBoreham Wood -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.411.50 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗51%1.972.20 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓68%1.481.25
First team to scoreBoreham Wood to score first ✗66%1.51–
Half-time resultBoreham Wood ahead at half-time ✗52%1.94–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boreham Wood / FT Boreham Wood ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Boreham Wood – last 6

WWWWWW
31 Octvs Hartlepool4–3W
27 Oct@ Woking2–1W
24 Octvs AFC Fylde4–0W
20 Octvs Middlesbrough U217–1W
17 Octvs Woking3–2W
9 Oct@ Sutton Utd2–0W
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Wigan – last 6

DWLLLW
3 Novvs Mansfield Town0–0D
31 Octvs Bromley3–2W
27 Oct@ Leicester0–3L
24 Oct@ Huddersfield1–2L
20 Oct@ Oxford United1–2L
17 Octvs Reading1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Boreham Wood and Wigan.

Boreham Wood vs Wigan head-to-head page →

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boreham Wood vs Wigan?

Our pick is Boreham Wood or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Boreham Wood vs Wigan?

On our numbers Boreham Wood have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Wigan 13%.

How many goals will there be in Boreham Wood vs Wigan?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boreham Wood vs Wigan?

Our predicted score is Boreham Wood 2–1 Wigan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Boreham Wood vs Wigan?

Boreham Wood vs Wigan (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.