Value bet: AFC Wimbledon to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAFC Wimbledon to win ✗39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.24
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Wimbledon travel to face Crewe on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup, with Alexandra Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Crewe, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Barnet, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
AFC Wimbledon, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Stockport County, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Crewe, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.2 for AFC Wimbledon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Crewe 1.3 xG, AFC Wimbledon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Crewe 38%, draw 23%, AFC Wimbledon 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: AFC Wimbledon to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Crewe 1–1 AFC Wimbledon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Crewe38%fair 2.61 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.30
AFC Wimbledon39%fair 2.56 · @3.10
2.57Expected goals
1.28Crewe xG
1.29AFC Wimbledon xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Crewe 1.3 – 1.3 AFC Wimbledon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AFC Wimbledon to win✗
39%
2.56
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Draw no bet
AFC Wimbledon (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Crewe +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.10
First team to score
AFC Wimbledon to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AFC Wimbledon / FT AFC Wimbledon✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.24
–
Recent results
Crewe – last 6
DLLWWD
31 Oct
vs Barnet
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Chesterfield
1–5
L
20 Oct
@ Exeter City
0–2
L
17 Oct
vs Rochdale
3–2
W
10 Oct
@ Swindon Town
1–0
W
6 Oct
@ Blackpool
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AFC Wimbledon – last 6
LLDLLL
31 Oct
@ Stockport County
1–2
L
27 Oct
vs Arsenal U21
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Wycombe
1–1
D
20 Oct
vs Mansfield Town
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Sheffield Wednesday
0–5
L
10 Oct
@ Plymouth
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Crewe and AFC Wimbledon.
What is the prediction for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
On our numbers Crewe have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AFC Wimbledon 39%.
How many goals will there be in Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
Our predicted score is Crewe 1–1 AFC Wimbledon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon?
Crewe vs AFC Wimbledon (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alexandra Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Accrington ST0
Wycombe2
Barnet3
Tranmere0
Boreham Wood0
Wigan3
Bradford7
Marine0
Bromley0
Rotherham2
Burton Albion4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds0
Carlisle1
Salford City0
Cheltenham2
FC Halifax Town0