Carlisle 37%Draw 21%Salford City 41%Expected goals 1.48 – 1.58
61%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSalford City to win ✗41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Carlisle vs Salford City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Carlisle v Salford City in the FA Cup, played at Brunton Park.
Current form
Carlisle, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Altrincham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Salford City, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Exeter City, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jul 2026) it ended Carlisle 0–2 Salford City.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Carlisle 1.5 xG, Salford City 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Carlisle 37%, draw 21%, Salford City 41%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Carlisle to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Carlisle 1–1 Salford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Carlisle37%fair 2.69 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.50
Salford City41%fair 2.41 · @2.30
3.06Expected goals
1.48Carlisle xG
1.58Salford City xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Carlisle 1.5 – 1.6 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Carlisle vs Salford City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Carlisle vs Salford City?
On our numbers Carlisle have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Salford City 41%.
How many goals will there be in Carlisle vs Salford City?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Carlisle vs Salford City?
Our predicted score is Carlisle 1–1 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Carlisle vs Salford City?
Carlisle vs Salford City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Brunton Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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