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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Dover v Wealdstone: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Dover

WLDWD
2–0
FT
Dover 21%Draw 17%Wealdstone 62% Expected goals 1.34 – 2.42
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Wealdstone to win @ 1.85 – our chance 62% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWealdstone to win ✗62% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.95

Dover vs Wealdstone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Wealdstone travel to face Dover on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Dover, last 5: WLDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Farnham Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Wealdstone, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Derby County U21, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Dover 1.3 xG, Wealdstone 2.4 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Dover 21%, draw 17%, Wealdstone 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Wealdstone to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dover 1–2 Wealdstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Dover21%fair 4.75 · @3.60
Draw17%fair 6.03 · @4.00
Wealdstone62%fair 1.60 · @1.85
3.76Expected goals
1.34Dover xG
2.42Wealdstone xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Dover 1.3 – 2.4 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWealdstone to win ✗62%1.601.85 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83%1.201.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.44
Draw no betWealdstone (draw no bet) ✗75%1.34–
Asian handicapWealdstone -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68%1.471.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓52%1.931.67
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓70%1.421.28
First team to scoreWealdstone to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultWealdstone ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Wealdstone / FT Wealdstone ✗40%2.49–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.95–

Recent results

Dover – last 6

WLDWDW
31 Octvs Farnham Town1–0W
27 Octvs Chelmsford City0–1L
24 Oct@ Salisbury1–1D
17 Octvs Dorking Wanderers3–2W
10 Octvs Dorking Wanderers1–1D
3 Oct@ Hanwell Town2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Wealdstone – last 6

DWLWWW
3 Novvs Derby County U212–2D
31 Octvs Southend3–2W
27 Octvs Solihull Moors2–3L
24 Oct@ Aldershot Town1–0W
20 Octvs Nottingham Forest U211–0W
17 Octvs Worthing3–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Dover and Wealdstone.

Dover vs Wealdstone head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Dover vs Wealdstone?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Dover vs Wealdstone?

On our numbers Dover have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Wealdstone 62%.

How many goals will there be in Dover vs Wealdstone?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Dover vs Wealdstone?

Our predicted score is Dover 1–2 Wealdstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Dover vs Wealdstone?

Dover vs Wealdstone (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.