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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fleetwood Town v Rochdale: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood Town

WDLLW
1–1
FTAET 1–2

Rochdale

LLLDL
Fleetwood Town 60%Draw 19%Rochdale 21% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.99
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultFleetwood Town to win ✗60% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rochdale travel to face Fleetwood Town on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup, with Highbury Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Fleetwood Town, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Bristol Rovers, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Rochdale, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Doncaster, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.2 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Fleetwood Town, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Rochdale.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Sep 2026) it ended Fleetwood Town 1–2 Rochdale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fleetwood Town 1.9 xG, Rochdale 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fleetwood Town 60%, draw 19%, Rochdale 21%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fleetwood Town 1–1 Rochdale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fleetwood Town60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @4.00
Rochdale21%fair 4.75 · @4.75
2.88Expected goals
1.88Fleetwood Town xG
0.99Rochdale xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Fleetwood Town 1.9 – 1.0 Rochdale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFleetwood Town to win ✗60%1.681.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.70
Draw no betFleetwood Town (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapRochdale +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.211.17
First team to scoreFleetwood Town to score first ✗62%1.62–
Half-time resultFleetwood Town ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fleetwood Town / FT Fleetwood Town ✗36%2.74–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Fleetwood Town – last 6

WDLLWD
31 Octvs Bristol Rovers3–1W
27 Octvs Arsenal1–1D
24 Oct@ Exeter City1–2L
20 Oct@ Cheltenham2–4L
17 Octvs Rotherham2–0W
10 Octvs Walsall1–1D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rochdale – last 6

LLLDLD
3 Novvs Doncaster1–4L
31 Oct@ Port Vale2–4L
24 Octvs Accrington ST0–5L
20 Octvs Grimsby2–2D
17 Oct@ Crewe2–3L
10 Oct@ Tranmere1–1D
1.3Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026Fleetwood Town v Rochdale1–2
Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X22%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 164%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.4xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 177%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

On our numbers Fleetwood Town have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rochdale 21%.

How many goals will there be in Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

Our predicted score is Fleetwood Town 1–1 Rochdale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale?

Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Highbury Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.