Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Guiseley AFC v Sutton Utd: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England

Guiseley AFC

WDWWW
1–0
FT

Sutton Utd

DWWLW
Guiseley AFC 34%Draw 21%Sutton Utd 45% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.55
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Guiseley AFC to win @ 3.60 – our chance 34% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSutton Utd to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Guiseley AFC welcome Sutton Utd for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Guiseley AFC, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Leek Town, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Sutton Utd, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Southampton U21, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Guiseley AFC, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.2 for Sutton Utd.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Guiseley AFC 1.3 xG, Sutton Utd 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Guiseley AFC 34%, draw 21%, Sutton Utd 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Guiseley AFC to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guiseley AFC 1–1 Sutton Utd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Guiseley AFC34%fair 2.96 · @3.60
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.50
Sutton Utd45%fair 2.23 · @2.00
2.85Expected goals
1.30Guiseley AFC xG
1.55Sutton Utd xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%

From our goals model: Guiseley AFC 1.3 – 1.5 Sutton Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSutton Utd to win ✗45%2.232.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.651.62
Draw no betSutton Utd (draw no bet) ✗57%1.75–
Asian handicapGuiseley AFC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.831.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.201.14
First team to scoreSutton Utd to score first ✗51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sutton Utd / FT Sutton Utd ✗26%3.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.08–

Recent results

Guiseley AFC – last 6

WDWWWW
3 Novvs Leek Town4–1W
31 Oct@ Redcar Athletic2–2D
24 Oct@ Rylands3–1W
20 Octvs Cleethorpes Town2–1W
17 Oct@ Leiston3–0W
10 Oct@ Avro1–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sutton Utd – last 6

DWWLWW
3 Novvs Southampton U210–0D
31 Oct@ Worthing3–0W
28 Octvs Aldershot Town2–0W
24 Oct@ Harrogate Town1–3L
17 Octvs Truro City1–0W
13 Octvs West Bromwich Albion U213–2W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Guiseley AFC and Sutton Utd.

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X22%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 164%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.4xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 177%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

On our numbers Guiseley AFC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sutton Utd 45%.

How many goals will there be in Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

Our predicted score is Guiseley AFC 1–1 Sutton Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd?

Guiseley AFC vs Sutton Utd (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.