Wednesday 11 November 2026 11 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AFC Hornchurch v Blackpool: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Hornchurch Stadium

AFC Hornchurch

WLLLW
1–1
FTAET 1–2

Blackpool

DWLWL
AFC Hornchurch 18%Draw 22%Blackpool 60% Expected goals 1.23 – 2.33
82%
Betarazi pick

Blackpool or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Blackpool to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultBlackpool to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceBlackpool or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the FA Cup brings AFC Hornchurch against Blackpool at Hornchurch Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

AFC Hornchurch, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over West Ham United U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Blackpool, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sheffield Wednesday, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AFC Hornchurch 1.2 xG, Blackpool 2.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 62%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AFC Hornchurch 18%, draw 22%, Blackpool 60%.
  • Lower-risk option: Blackpool or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Blackpool to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Blackpool or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AFC Hornchurch 1–2 Blackpool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AFC Hornchurch18%fair 5.64 · @4.00
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.90
Blackpool60%fair 1.66 · @1.80
3.56Expected goals
1.23AFC Hornchurch xG
2.33Blackpool xG
62%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
0–36%

From our goals model: AFC Hornchurch 1.2 – 2.3 Blackpool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBlackpool to win ✗60%1.661.80 ▲
Double chanceBlackpool or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.57
Draw no betBlackpool (draw no bet)77%1.29–
Asian handicapBlackpool -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.191.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗65%1.551.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓57%1.771.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓75%1.341.20
First team to scoreBlackpool to score first ✗63%1.58–
Half-time resultBlackpool ahead at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Blackpool / FT Blackpool ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

AFC Hornchurch – last 6

WLLLWW
3 Novvs West Ham United U212–0W
30 Oct@ AFC Fylde1–3L
27 Octvs Yeovil Town1–2L
24 Oct@ Hartlepool1–2L
17 Oct@ Uxbridge4–0W
10 Octvs Eastleigh2–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Blackpool – last 6

DWLWLL
1 Nov@ Sheffield Wednesday1–1D
27 Octvs Aston Villa U213–2W
24 Octvs Mansfield Town1–4L
20 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons2–0W
17 Oct@ Leyton Orient0–2L
10 Oct@ Cambridge United0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between AFC Hornchurch and Blackpool.

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X22%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 164%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.4xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 177%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Our pick is Blackpool or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

On our numbers AFC Hornchurch have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Blackpool 60%.

How many goals will there be in AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Our predicted score is AFC Hornchurch 1–2 Blackpool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

AFC Hornchurch vs Blackpool (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Hornchurch Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.