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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Milton Keynes Dons v Swindon Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Stadium MK

Milton Keynes Dons

WWWLW
2–1
FT

Swindon Town

WDWDL
Milton Keynes Dons 68%Draw 19%Swindon Town 12% Expected goals 2.26 – 0.86
68%
Betarazi pick

Milton Keynes Dons to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✓68% · @1.50
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.30

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Milton Keynes Dons welcome Swindon Town to Stadium MK for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Milton Keynes Dons, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Doncaster, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Swindon Town, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Rotherham, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Milton Keynes Dons, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Swindon Town.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Milton Keynes Dons 2.3 xG, Swindon Town 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Milton Keynes Dons 68%, draw 19%, Swindon Town 12%.
  • Lower-risk option: Milton Keynes Dons or draw (88%) at 1.14.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.70.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Milton Keynes Dons to win (68%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Swindon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Milton Keynes Dons68%fair 1.46 · @1.50
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @4.50
Swindon Town12%fair 8.12 · @5.75
3.12Expected goals
2.26Milton Keynes Dons xG
0.86Swindon Town xG
58%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Milton Keynes Dons 2.3 – 0.9 Swindon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMilton Keynes Dons to win ✓68%1.461.50
Double chanceMilton Keynes Dons or draw ✓88%1.141.14
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.731.70
Draw no betMilton Keynes Dons (draw no bet) ✓85%1.18–
Asian handicapMilton Keynes Dons -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.631.53
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.281.22
First team to scoreMilton Keynes Dons to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultMilton Keynes Dons ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Milton Keynes Dons / FT Milton Keynes Dons ✓46%2.20–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10%10.30–

Recent results

Milton Keynes Dons – last 6

WWWLWL
31 Octvs Doncaster6–1W
27 Octvs Bromley4–1W
24 Oct@ Stevenage1–0W
20 Oct@ Blackpool0–2L
17 Octvs Luton2–1W
10 Octvs Reading1–5L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Swindon Town – last 6

WDWDLL
31 Octvs Rotherham2–1W
24 Oct@ Bristol Rovers0–0D
20 Oct@ Barnet3–1W
17 Octvs Walsall1–1D
10 Octvs Crewe0–1L
3 Oct@ Rochdale0–1L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

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FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
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FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Our pick is Milton Keynes Dons to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

On our numbers Milton Keynes Dons have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Swindon Town 12%.

How many goals will there be in Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Our predicted score is Milton Keynes Dons 2–0 Swindon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium MK.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.