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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Newport County v Walsall: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Rodney Parade

Newport County

LWLDD
3–1
FT

Walsall

WLWDW
Newport County 35%Draw 23%Walsall 42% Expected goals 1.26 – 1.41
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Walsall to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultWalsall to win ✗42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51

Newport County vs Walsall: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Walsall travel to face Newport County on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup, with Rodney Parade the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Newport County, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Crystal Palace U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Walsall, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Colchester, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Walsall, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Newport County.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Newport County 1.3 xG, Walsall 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Newport County 35%, draw 23%, Walsall 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.70.
  • Price worth noting: Walsall to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 42%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newport County 1–1 Walsall. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Newport County35%fair 2.86 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
Walsall42%fair 2.38 · @2.70
2.67Expected goals
1.26Newport County xG
1.41Walsall xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Newport County 1.3 – 1.4 Walsall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWalsall to win ✗42%2.382.70 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.761.70
Draw no betWalsall (draw no bet) ✗55%1.83–
Asian handicapNewport County +1 (Asian handicap) ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.001.91
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗71%1.401.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.161.11
First team to scoreWalsall to score first49%2.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Walsall / FT Walsall ✗24%4.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.51–

Recent results

Newport County – last 6

LWLDDW
3 Novvs Crystal Palace U211–2L
30 Octvs Chesterfield4–1W
24 Oct@ Cheltenham0–1L
20 Oct@ Rotherham2–2D
17 Octvs York1–1D
10 Octvs Colchester1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Walsall – last 6

WLWDWD
31 Oct@ Colchester3–1W
26 Octvs Salford City2–4L
20 Octvs Oldham3–0W
17 Oct@ Swindon Town1–1D
13 Octvs Fulham U213–2W
10 Oct@ Fleetwood Town1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Newport County and Walsall.

Newport County vs Walsall head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X22%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 164%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.4xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 177%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Newport County vs Walsall?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Newport County vs Walsall?

On our numbers Newport County have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Walsall 42%.

How many goals will there be in Newport County vs Walsall?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Newport County vs Walsall?

Our predicted score is Newport County 1–1 Walsall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Newport County vs Walsall?

Newport County vs Walsall (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Rodney Parade.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.