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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oxford United v Stevenage: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Kassam Stadium

Oxford United

WDWDW
0–1
FT

Stevenage

DLWLW
Oxford United 51%Draw 23%Stevenage 26% Expected goals 1.55 – 1.02
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultOxford United to win ✗51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.67

Oxford United vs Stevenage: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the FA Cup brings Oxford United against Stevenage at Kassam Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Oxford United, last 5: WDWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Reading, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Stevenage, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Leicester, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Stevenage 1–2 Oxford United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oxford United 1.5 xG, Stevenage 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oxford United 51%, draw 23%, Stevenage 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oxford United 1–1 Stevenage. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oxford United51%fair 1.96 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
Stevenage26%fair 3.80 · @3.70
2.57Expected goals
1.55Oxford United xG
1.02Stevenage xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Oxford United 1.5 – 1.0 Stevenage expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✗51%1.962.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.80
Draw no betOxford United (draw no bet) ✗66%1.52–
Asian handicapStevenage +1 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.361.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
First team to scoreOxford United to score first ✗56%1.80–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗30%3.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.67–

Recent results

Oxford United – last 6

WDWDWD
4 Novvs Reading2–0W
31 Oct@ Barnsley1–1D
27 Octvs Stockport County1–0W
24 Octvs Bradford0–0D
20 Octvs Wigan2–1W
15 Oct@ Mansfield Town1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Stevenage – last 6

DLWLWW
31 Oct@ Leicester2–2D
24 Octvs Milton Keynes Dons0–1L
20 Octvs Plymouth3–0W
17 Oct@ Bradford0–2L
10 Octvs Wigan1–0W
6 Octvs Leicester2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Aug 2026Stevenage v Oxford United1–2
Oxford United vs Stevenage head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X22%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 164%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.4xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 177%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Oxford United vs Stevenage?

On our numbers Oxford United have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Stevenage 26%.

How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Stevenage?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Our predicted score is Oxford United 1–1 Stevenage, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Oxford United vs Stevenage?

Oxford United vs Stevenage (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.