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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Port Vale v Scunthorpe: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Vale Park

Port Vale

WWLDW
4–2
FT

Scunthorpe

DLLLW
Port Vale 64%Draw 18%Scunthorpe 18% Expected goals 2.32 – 1.16
82%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultPort Vale to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Port Vale welcome Scunthorpe to Vale Park for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Port Vale, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Rochdale, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Scunthorpe, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Wolves U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Port Vale, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Scunthorpe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Port Vale 2.3 xG, Scunthorpe 1.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Port Vale 64%, draw 18%, Scunthorpe 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Port Vale or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Port Vale 2–1 Scunthorpe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Port Vale64%fair 1.57 · @1.57
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.10
Scunthorpe18%fair 5.59 · @5.25
3.48Expected goals
2.32Port Vale xG
1.16Scunthorpe xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
2–08%
1–18%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Port Vale 2.3 – 1.2 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPort Vale to win ✓64%1.571.57
Double chancePort Vale or draw ✓82%1.221.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.75 ▲
Draw no betPort Vale (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapPort Vale -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.58–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗59%1.691.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗77%1.301.17
First team to scorePort Vale to score first ✓65%1.55–
Half-time resultPort Vale ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Port Vale / FT Port Vale ✓41%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.40–

Recent results

Port Vale – last 6

WWLDWW
31 Octvs Rochdale4–2W
27 Octvs Manchester City U215–0W
24 Oct@ York0–2L
20 Oct@ Gillingham1–1D
17 Octvs Chesterfield1–0W
10 Octvs Grimsby1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Scunthorpe – last 6

DLLLWD
3 Novvs Wolves U212–2D
31 Oct@ Boston United1–2L
27 Oct@ Tamworth1–4L
24 Octvs Woking2–3L
17 Oct@ Boston United3–1W
13 Octvs Derby County U212–2D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Port Vale and Scunthorpe.

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X22%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 164%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.4xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 177%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

On our numbers Port Vale have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Scunthorpe 18%.

How many goals will there be in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Our predicted score is Port Vale 2–1 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vale Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.