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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chesterfield v Yeovil Town: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · SMH Group Stadium

Chesterfield

LWDLD
4–3
FT

Yeovil Town

LWLWD
Chesterfield 63%Draw 23%Yeovil Town 14% Expected goals 3.17 – 1.68
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.53Odds
O3.5

Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 56% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChesterfield to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.53
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 14.34

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Yeovil Town travel to face Chesterfield on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup, with SMH Group Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Chesterfield, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Newport County, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Yeovil Town, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to FC Halifax Town, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chesterfield 3.2 xG, Yeovil Town 1.7 xG – a total near 4.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chesterfield 63%, draw 23%, Yeovil Town 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Chesterfield or draw (86%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Over 3.5 goals @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (74%, odds 1.53 – longer than our fair 1.35, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chesterfield 3–1 Yeovil Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chesterfield63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @4.75
Yeovil Town14%fair 7.10 · @5.25
4.85Expected goals
3.17Chesterfield xG
1.68Yeovil Town xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
2–26%
4–16%
4–25%

From our goals model: Chesterfield 3.2 – 1.7 Yeovil Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChesterfield to win ✓63%1.581.50
Double chanceChesterfield or draw ✓86%1.161.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓70%1.421.62 ▲
Draw no betChesterfield (draw no bet) ✓82%1.22–
Asian handicapChesterfield -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.121.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.351.53 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓56%1.782.25 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗61%1.641.25
First team to scoreChesterfield to score first65%1.54–
Half-time resultChesterfield ahead at half-time ✓52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chesterfield / FT Chesterfield ✓46%2.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7%14.34–

Recent results

Chesterfield – last 6

LWDLDW
30 Oct@ Newport County1–4L
24 Octvs Crewe5–1W
20 Octvs Colchester1–1D
17 Oct@ Port Vale0–1L
10 Oct@ Crawley Town2–2D
3 Octvs Tranmere4–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Yeovil Town – last 6

LWLWDW
31 Oct@ FC Halifax Town0–2L
27 Oct@ AFC Hornchurch2–1W
24 Octvs Altrincham1–2L
20 Octvs Leatherhead5–2W
17 Oct@ Leatherhead3–3D
10 Oct@ Wealdstone6–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chesterfield and Yeovil Town.

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub
FT Accrington ST0 Wycombe2 129%3.30X22%3.40250%2.10 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Barnet3 Tranmere0 159%1.67X22%3.90219%4.75 1.9–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.50 ✓
FT Boreham Wood0 Wigan3 164%1.70X22%4.20213%4.20 2.8–1.4xG 1XBoreham Wood or draw 87%@1.22 ✗
FT Bradford7 Marine0 174%1.30X17%5.0029%10.00 2.3–0.7xG 1Bradford to win 74%@1.30 ✓
FT Bromley0 Rotherham2 131%2.05X50%3.60219%3.40 1.7–1.4xG 1XBromley or draw 81%@1.30 ✗
FT Burton Albion4 AFC Rushden & Diamonds0 177%1.08X16%10.0027%21.00 2.7–0.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.33 ✓
FT Carlisle1 Salford City0 137%2.90X21%3.50241%2.30 1.5–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Cheltenham2 FC Halifax Town0 163%1.90X15%3.90222%3.60 2.6–1.5xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.62 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

On our numbers Chesterfield have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yeovil Town 14%.

How many goals will there be in Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Our predicted score is Chesterfield 3–1 Yeovil Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.

When is Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town?

Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at SMH Group Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.