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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Colchester v Worcester City: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England
1–0
FT
Colchester 69%Draw 16%Worcester City 16% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.73
65%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultColchester to win ✓69% · @1.33
Double chanceColchester or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 11.81

Colchester vs Worcester City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 7 November the FA Cup brings Colchester against Worcester City. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Colchester, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Walsall, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Worcester City, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Real Bedford, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Worcester City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Colchester.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 2.0 xG, Worcester City 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 69%, draw 16%, Worcester City 16%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57 – longer than our fair 1.53, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–0 Worcester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Colchester69%fair 1.46 · @1.33
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @5.50
Worcester City16%fair 6.44 · @7.50
2.69Expected goals
1.95Colchester xG
0.73Worcester City xG
49%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Colchester 2.0 – 0.7 Worcester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultColchester to win ✓69%1.461.33
Double chanceColchester or draw ✓84%1.181.10
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.941.91
Draw no betColchester (draw no bet) ✓82%1.23–
Asian handicapColchester -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.281.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.231.22
First team to scoreColchester to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultColchester ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Colchester / FT Colchester ✓42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8%11.81–

Recent results

Colchester – last 6

LLDDLD
31 Octvs Walsall1–3L
24 Oct@ Northampton0–2L
20 Oct@ Chesterfield1–1D
17 Octvs Exeter City0–0D
10 Oct@ Newport County0–1L
3 Octvs Luton1–1D
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Worcester City – last 6

WWDLLW
31 Octvs Real Bedford4–1W
27 Oct@ Banbury United3–0W
17 Oct@ Chorley1–1D
13 Octvs Stourbridge1–3L
10 Oct@ Rushall Olympic0–1L
3 Oct@ Kettering Town3–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Worcester City.

Colchester vs Worcester City head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Colchester vs Worcester City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Colchester vs Worcester City?

On our numbers Colchester have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Worcester City 16%.

How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Worcester City?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Worcester City?

Our predicted score is Colchester 1–0 Worcester City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Colchester vs Worcester City?

Colchester vs Worcester City (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.