Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGillingham to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceGillingham or draw ✗81% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.26
Gillingham vs Barrow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gillingham welcome Barrow to Priestfield Stadium for a FA Cup fixture on Saturday 7 November (16:00 WAT).
Current form
Gillingham, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Shrewsbury, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Barrow, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Eastleigh, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Barrow, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.7 for Gillingham.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gillingham 1.3 xG, Barrow 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gillingham 56%, draw 25%, Barrow 19%.
Lower-risk option: Gillingham or draw (81%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Gillingham or draw (81%, odds 1.28 – longer than our fair 1.24, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gillingham 1–0 Barrow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gillingham56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.50
Barrow19%fair 5.24 · @3.70
1.89Expected goals
1.30Gillingham xG
0.60Barrow xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: Gillingham 1.3 – 0.6 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gillingham to win✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Gillingham or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Draw no bet
Gillingham (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Barrow +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.36 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.12
First team to score
Gillingham to score first✗
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gillingham / FT Gillingham✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
13.26
–
Recent results
Gillingham – last 6
WLDLWW
31 Oct
@ Shrewsbury
2–1
W
24 Oct
vs Grimsby
1–4
L
20 Oct
vs Port Vale
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Accrington ST
1–3
L
13 Oct
vs Brighton U21
4–3
W
10 Oct
@ Rotherham
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barrow – last 6
DWWDWW
31 Oct
vs Eastleigh
1–1
D
27 Oct
@ FC Halifax Town
3–2
W
20 Oct
@ Gloucester City
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Gloucester City
0–0
D
10 Oct
@ Tamworth
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Wealdstone
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gillingham and Barrow.
Our pick is Gillingham or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Gillingham vs Barrow?
On our numbers Gillingham have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Barrow 19%.
How many goals will there be in Gillingham vs Barrow?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gillingham vs Barrow?
Our predicted score is Gillingham 1–0 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Gillingham vs Barrow?
Gillingham vs Barrow (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Priestfield Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Wycombe2
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Tranmere0
Boreham Wood0
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Marine0
Bromley0
Rotherham2
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds0
Carlisle1
Salford City0
Cheltenham2
FC Halifax Town0