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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Harrogate Town v AFC Fylde: numbers & prediction

FA Cup · England · Exercise Stadium
1–4
FT
Harrogate Town 61%Draw 14%AFC Fylde 25% Expected goals 2.19 – 1.28
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultHarrogate Town to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

AFC Fylde travel to face Harrogate Town on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup, with Exercise Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.

Current form

Harrogate Town, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Forest Green, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

AFC Fylde, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over AFC Hornchurch, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Sep 2026) it ended Harrogate Town 1–2 AFC Fylde.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Harrogate Town 2.2 xG, AFC Fylde 1.3 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Harrogate Town 61%, draw 14%, AFC Fylde 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Harrogate Town to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harrogate Town 2–1 AFC Fylde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Harrogate Town61%fair 1.63 · @1.95
Draw14%fair 7.22 · @4.00
AFC Fylde25%fair 4.02 · @3.30
3.47Expected goals
2.19Harrogate Town xG
1.28AFC Fylde xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–07%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.2 – 1.3 AFC Fylde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHarrogate Town to win ✗61%1.631.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.22 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.50
Draw no betHarrogate Town (draw no bet) ✗71%1.41–
Asian handicapAFC Fylde +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84%1.181.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66%1.531.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗56%1.791.62
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗74%1.351.25
First team to scoreHarrogate Town to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultHarrogate Town ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Harrogate Town / FT Harrogate Town ✗37%2.69–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.48–

Recent results

Harrogate Town – last 6

DLWWDW
31 Oct@ Forest Green2–2D
28 Oct@ Carlisle0–3L
24 Octvs Sutton Utd3–1W
20 Octvs Bury3–1W
17 Oct@ Bury1–1D
10 Oct@ Woking1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

AFC Fylde – last 6

WWLWWL
30 Octvs AFC Hornchurch3–1W
27 Octvs Hartlepool3–1W
24 Oct@ Boreham Wood0–4L
17 Octvs Atherton Collieries5–0W
10 Octvs Scunthorpe2–0W
3 Oct@ Southend1–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Sep 2026Harrogate Town v AFC Fylde1–2
Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde head-to-head page →

More FA Cup predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and AFC Fylde 25%.

How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 2–1 AFC Fylde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde?

Harrogate Town vs AFC Fylde (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.