Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 57% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPlymouth to win ✓76% · @1.20
Double chancePlymouth or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Plymouth vs Alvechurch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Plymouth v Alvechurch in the FA Cup, played at Home Park.
Current form
Plymouth, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Reading, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Alvechurch, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Leiston, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Plymouth 2.6 xG, Alvechurch 0.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Plymouth 76%, draw 15%, Alvechurch 8%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Plymouth to win (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Plymouth 2–0 Alvechurch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Plymouth76%fair 1.31 · @1.20
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @7.00
Alvechurch8%fair 11.78 · @12.00
3.39Expected goals
2.61Plymouth xG
0.78Alvechurch xG
57%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–09%
3–18%
1–17%
From our goals model: Plymouth 2.6 – 0.8 Alvechurch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Plymouth to win✓
76%
1.31
1.20
Double chance
Plymouth or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Plymouth (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
Plymouth -1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
First team to score
Plymouth to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Plymouth ahead at half-time✗
57%
1.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Plymouth / FT Plymouth✗
53%
1.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Plymouth – last 6
DWLLWD
31 Oct
vs Reading
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Cambridge United
3–2
W
20 Oct
@ Stevenage
0–3
L
17 Oct
vs Huddersfield
0–2
L
10 Oct
vs AFC Wimbledon
2–1
W
6 Oct
@ Newport County
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alvechurch – last 6
WDDWDD
31 Oct
@ Leiston
3–1
W
27 Oct
vs Anstey Nomads
2–2
D
24 Oct
@ Stratford Town
4–4
D
20 Oct
vs Spalding United
4–0
W
17 Oct
@ Spalding United
2–2
D
13 Oct
@ Halesowen Town
1–1
D
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Plymouth and Alvechurch.
What is the prediction for Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Our pick is Plymouth to win with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
On our numbers Plymouth have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Alvechurch 8%.
How many goals will there be in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Our predicted score is Plymouth 2–0 Alvechurch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Plymouth vs Alvechurch?
Plymouth vs Alvechurch (FA Cup) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Home Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Accrington ST0
Wycombe2
Barnet3
Tranmere0
Boreham Wood0
Wigan3
Bradford7
Marine0
Bromley0
Rotherham2
Burton Albion4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds0
Carlisle1
Salford City0
Cheltenham2
FC Halifax Town0