Over 4.5 Goals Predictions yesterday

Yesterday's over 4.5 goals picks: today's figures

3 matches on Tuesday 10 November qualify for this market today, averaging 62%. Most picks come from Mongolia Premier League (1), Brazil Paraense U20 (1), Spain Copa Del Rey (1). 1 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Over 4.5 goals explained

Over 4.5 goals is for the shoot-outs: five or more goals, such as 3–2, 4–1 or 5–0.

3–1 is a loss; one more goal from anyone turns it into a win. Five-goal games happen in roughly one match in seven or eight, so odds usually sit between 3.50 and 7.00.

Where over 4.5 goals makes sense

We only list a game when our numbers still make five goals a better-than-even chance – a strong attack against a poor defence, and an opponent able to answer back.

Checklist

• This is a small-stake market; even good spots lose often.
• Over 3.5 at a shorter price is the sensible alternative.
• Late kick-offs in high-scoring leagues – Netherlands, Germany, Norway – produce most five-goal games.

Where these chances come from

Each percentage is read from the Betarazi score grid, built from our nightly team ratings and expected goals, with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. If a bookmaker pays more than our fair price (100 ÷ the percentage), the pick carries value too. The full method is on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.