Brighton vs Wolves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 9 May the Premier League brings Brighton against Wolves at Amex Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Brighton, last 4: WLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Chelsea, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Wolves, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to West Ham, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Brighton, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Wolves.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Brighton 2.1 xG, Wolves 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 58%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Brighton 71%, draw 20%, Wolves 9%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brighton 2–0 Wolves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Brighton71%fair 1.41 · @1.24
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @5.80
Wolves9%fair 10.70 · @11.00
2.76Expected goals
2.09Brighton xG
0.67Wolves xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Brighton 2.1 – 0.7 Wolves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brighton to win
71%
1.41
1.24
Double chance
Brighton or draw
91%
1.10
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Brighton (draw no bet)
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Brighton -1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
58%
1.74
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.25
First team to score
Brighton to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Brighton ahead at half-time
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brighton / FT Brighton
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Brighton – last 4
WLWW
21 Apr
vs Chelsea
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Arsenal
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Nottingham Forest
2–1
W
21 Feb
@ Brentford
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Wolves – last 6
LDLWWL
10 Apr
@ West Ham
0–4
L
16 Mar
@ Brentford
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Liverpool
1–3
L
3 Mar
vs Liverpool
2–1
W
27 Feb
vs Aston Villa
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Crystal Palace
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brighton and Wolves.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Brighton vs Wolves?
On our numbers Brighton have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Wolves 9%.
How many goals will there be in Brighton vs Wolves?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brighton vs Wolves?
Our predicted score is Brighton 2–0 Wolves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Brighton vs Wolves?
Brighton vs Wolves (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Amex Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
