Manchester City 62%Draw 20%Brentford 18%Expected goals 2.10 – 1.27
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.62
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester City to win62% · @1.34
Double chanceManchester City or draw82% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.39
Manchester City vs Brentford: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Saturday 9 May: Manchester City v Brentford in the Premier League, played at Etihad Stadium. In the table, Manchester City are 3rd, among the top four, on 21 points after 10 matches; Brentford are 8th (upper half) with 14.
Current form
Manchester City, last 5: DWWWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Everton, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Brentford, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Manchester United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Manchester City, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Brentford.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester City 2.1 xG, Brentford 1.3 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 66% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester City 62%, draw 20%, Brentford 18%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester City 2–1 Brentford. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester City62%fair 1.62 · @1.34
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @5.20
Brentford18%fair 5.62 · @7.70
3.37Expected goals
2.10Manchester City xG
1.27Brentford xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Manchester City 2.1 – 1.3 Brentford expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester City to win
62%
1.62
1.34
Double chance
Manchester City or draw
82%
1.22
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
65%
1.54
1.62 ▲
Draw no bet
Manchester City (draw no bet)
78%
1.29
–
Asian handicap
Brentford +1.5 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.35
First team to score
Manchester City to score first
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Manchester City ahead at half-time
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester City / FT Manchester City
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Manchester City – last 6
DWWWLL
4 May
@ Everton
3–3
D
22 Apr
@ Burnley
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Liverpool
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Arsenal
2–0
W
17 Mar
vs Real Madrid
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Real Madrid
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Brentford – last 5
LDDLW
27 Apr
@ Manchester United
1–2
L
16 Mar
vs Wolves
2–2
D
3 Mar
@ Bournemouth
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Brighton
0–2
L
16 Feb
@ Macclesfield
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester City and Brentford.
What is the prediction for Manchester City vs Brentford?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Manchester City vs Brentford?
On our numbers Manchester City have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Brentford 18%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester City vs Brentford?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Brentford?
Our predicted score is Manchester City 2–1 Brentford, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Manchester City vs Brentford?
Manchester City vs Brentford (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Etihad Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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