Liverpool 52%Draw 22%Chelsea 26%Expected goals 1.96 – 1.44
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultLiverpool to win ✗52% · @1.81
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Liverpool vs Chelsea: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chelsea travel to face Liverpool on Saturday 9 May in the Premier League, with Anfield the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Liverpool are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Chelsea are 5th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Liverpool, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Everton, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Chelsea, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Nottingham Forest, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Liverpool, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Chelsea.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Liverpool 2.0 xG, Chelsea 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Liverpool 52%, draw 22%, Chelsea 26%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Liverpool52%fair 1.93 · @1.81
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @4.00
Chelsea26%fair 3.77 · @3.75
3.40Expected goals
1.96Liverpool xG
1.44Chelsea xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Liverpool 2.0 – 1.4 Chelsea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool to win✗
52%
1.93
1.81
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.42
Draw no bet
Liverpool (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Chelsea +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.73
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
First team to score
Liverpool to score first
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Liverpool ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool / FT Liverpool✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Liverpool – last 6
WLLLWD
19 Apr
@ Everton
2–1
W
14 Apr
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
8 Apr
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Manchester City
0–4
L
18 Mar
vs Galatasaray
4–0
W
15 Mar
vs Tottenham
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chelsea – last 6
LLLLWL
4 May
vs Nottingham Forest
1–3
L
21 Apr
@ Brighton
0–3
L
17 Mar
vs Paris Saint Germain
0–3
L
11 Mar
@ Paris Saint Germain
2–5
L
4 Mar
@ Aston Villa
4–1
W
1 Mar
@ Arsenal
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool and Chelsea.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Liverpool vs Chelsea?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chelsea 26%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Chelsea?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Chelsea?
Liverpool vs Chelsea (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Wolves0