Value bet: Bournemouth to win @ 2.48 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultBournemouth to win45% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score61% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 10.57
Fulham vs Bournemouth: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fulham welcome Bournemouth to Craven Cottage for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 9 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Fulham are 15th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Bournemouth are 7th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Fulham, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nottingham Forest, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Bournemouth, last 5: WDDDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Crystal Palace, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fulham 1.1 xG, Bournemouth 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fulham 31%, draw 25%, Bournemouth 45%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Bournemouth to win @2.48 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 45%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fulham 1–1 Bournemouth. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fulham31%fair 3.26 · @2.58
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.55
Bournemouth45%fair 2.25 · @2.48
2.74Expected goals
1.13Fulham xG
1.61Bournemouth xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
0–28%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Fulham 1.1 – 1.6 Bournemouth expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bournemouth to win
45%
2.25
2.48 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.64
1.50
Draw no bet
Bournemouth (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Fulham +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
First team to score
Bournemouth to score first
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bournemouth / FT Bournemouth
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.57
–
Recent results
Fulham – last 6
DLLWWW
15 Mar
@ Nottingham Forest
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Southampton
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs West Ham
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Tottenham
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Sunderland
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Stoke City
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bournemouth – last 5
WDDDD
3 May
vs Crystal Palace
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Leeds
2–2
D
20 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–2
D
3 Mar
vs Brentford
0–0
D
28 Feb
vs Sunderland
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fulham and Bournemouth.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Fulham vs Bournemouth?
On our numbers Fulham have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bournemouth 45%.
How many goals will there be in Fulham vs Bournemouth?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fulham vs Bournemouth?
Our predicted score is Fulham 1–1 Bournemouth, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fulham vs Bournemouth?
Fulham vs Bournemouth (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Craven Cottage.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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