Brentford v Crystal Palace Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultBrentford to win ✗64% · @1.65

Double chanceBrentford or draw ✓85% · @1.18

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Brentford vs Crystal Palace: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Brentford v Crystal Palace in the Premier League, played at Brentford Community Stadium. In the table, Brentford are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Crystal Palace are 20th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Brentford, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Manchester United, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Crystal Palace, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Manchester City, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Brentford 2.2 xG, Crystal Palace 0.9 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Brentford 64%, draw 21%, Crystal Palace 15%.
Lower-risk option: Brentford or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Brentford 2–0 Crystal Palace. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Brentford64%fair 1.56 · @1.65

Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.00

Crystal Palace15%fair 6.56 · @4.65

3.11Expected goals

2.16Brentford xG

0.95Crystal Palace xG

61%Both score

59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–010%

2–110%

1–010%

1–19%

3–08%

3–17%

From our goals model: Brentford 2.2 – 0.9 Crystal Palace expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Brentford to win ✗	64%	1.56	1.65 ▲
Double chance	Brentford or draw ✓	85%	1.18	1.18
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	61%	1.64	1.65
Draw no bet	Brentford (draw no bet)	81%	1.24	–
Asian handicap	Brentford -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	65%	1.54	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	59%	1.71	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	63%	1.59	1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	80%	1.25	1.18
First team to score	Brentford to score first	66%	1.51	–
Half-time result	Brentford ahead at half-time ✗	48%	2.10	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Brentford / FT Brentford ✗	42%	2.36	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	10%	10.12	–

Brentford – last 5

LDDLW

27 Apr	@ Manchester United	1–2	L
16 Mar	vs Wolves	2–2	D
3 Mar	@ Bournemouth	0–0	D
21 Feb	vs Brighton	0–2	L
16 Feb	@ Macclesfield	1–0	W

0.8Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Crystal Palace – last 6

LDWLWD

13 May	@ Manchester City	0–3	L
10 May	vs Everton	2–2	D
7 May	vs Shakhtar Donetsk	2–1	W
3 May	@ Bournemouth	0–3	L
30 Apr	@ Shakhtar Donetsk	3–1	W
20 Apr	vs West Ham	0–0	D

1.2Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

50%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

Team

Pts

+10

+19

-3

-1

-3

-5

-2

-4

-9

-5

-9

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

On our numbers Brentford have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Crystal Palace 15%.

How many goals will there be in Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

Our predicted score is Brentford 2–0 Crystal Palace, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

Brentford vs Crystal Palace (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Brentford Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Brentford v Crystal Palace: numbers & prediction