Manchester United 54%Draw 24%Nottingham Forest 22%Expected goals 1.72 – 1.14
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultManchester United to win ✓54% · @1.60
Double chanceManchester United or draw ✓78% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Manchester United welcome Nottingham Forest to Old Trafford for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 17 May (12:30 WAT). In the table, Manchester United are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Nottingham Forest are 16th (lower half) with 9. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Manchester United, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Brentford, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Nottingham Forest, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Newcastle, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Manchester United 1.7 xG, Nottingham Forest 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Manchester United 54%, draw 24%, Nottingham Forest 22%.
Lower-risk option: Manchester United or draw (78%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Manchester United 1–1 Nottingham Forest. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Manchester United54%fair 1.85 · @1.60
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @4.10
Nottingham Forest22%fair 4.57 · @4.90
2.87Expected goals
1.72Manchester United xG
1.14Nottingham Forest xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–26%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.7 – 1.1 Nottingham Forest expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Manchester United to win✓
54%
1.85
1.60
Double chance
Manchester United or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Draw no bet
Manchester United (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Nottingham Forest +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
First team to score
Manchester United to score first✓
57%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manchester United / FT Manchester United✓
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.36
–
Recent results
Manchester United – last 6
WLDWLW
27 Apr
vs Brentford
2–1
W
13 Apr
vs Leeds
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Bournemouth
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs Aston Villa
3–1
W
4 Mar
@ Newcastle
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nottingham Forest – last 6
DLWWWW
10 May
vs Newcastle
1–1
D
7 May
@ Aston Villa
0–4
L
4 May
@ Chelsea
3–1
W
30 Apr
vs Aston Villa
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Burnley
4–1
W
16 Apr
vs FC Porto
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manchester United and Nottingham Forest.
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
On our numbers Manchester United have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nottingham Forest 22%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
Our predicted score is Manchester United 1–1 Nottingham Forest, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest?
Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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