Newcastle 39%Draw 23%West Ham 39%Expected goals 1.57 – 1.73
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: West Ham to win @ 2.96 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWest Ham to win ✗39% · @2.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.56
Newcastle vs West Ham: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
West Ham travel to face Newcastle on Sunday 17 May in the Premier League, with St. James' Park the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT.
Current form
Newcastle, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nottingham Forest, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
West Ham, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Crystal Palace, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Newcastle 1.6 xG, West Ham 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Newcastle 39%, draw 23%, West Ham 39%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: West Ham to win @2.96 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Newcastle 1–1 West Ham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Newcastle39%fair 2.59 · @2.16
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.70
West Ham39%fair 2.58 · @2.96
3.30Expected goals
1.57Newcastle xG
1.73West Ham xG
67%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Newcastle 1.6 – 1.7 West Ham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
West Ham to win✗
39%
2.58
2.96 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.45
Draw no bet
West Ham (draw no bet)✗
50%
2.00
–
Asian handicap
Newcastle +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
First team to score
West Ham to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT West Ham / FT West Ham✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.56
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 6
DLLDWW
10 May
@ Nottingham Forest
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Sunderland
1–2
L
18 Mar
@ Barcelona
2–7
L
10 Mar
vs Barcelona
1–1
D
4 Mar
vs Manchester United
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Qarabag
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
West Ham – last 5
DWLWD
20 Apr
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Wolves
4–0
W
22 Mar
@ Aston Villa
0–2
L
4 Mar
@ Fulham
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Burton Albion
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and West Ham.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Newcastle vs West Ham?
On our numbers Newcastle have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and West Ham 39%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs West Ham?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs West Ham?
Our predicted score is Newcastle 1–1 West Ham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Newcastle vs West Ham?
Newcastle vs West Ham (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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