Everton v Sunderland Prediction & Expected Goals (17 May) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultEverton to win ✗51% · @1.81

Double chanceEverton or draw ✗78% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85

Everton vs Sunderland: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Everton welcome Sunderland to Hill Dickinson Stadium for a Premier League fixture on Sunday 17 May (15:00 WAT). In the table, Everton are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Sunderland are 19th (in the drop zone) with 8.

Current form

Everton, last 5: DDLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Crystal Palace, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.

Sunderland, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Aston Villa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Everton 1.5 xG, Sunderland 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Everton 51%, draw 27%, Sunderland 22%.
Lower-risk option: Everton or draw (78%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Everton or draw (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Everton 1–0 Sunderland. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Everton51%fair 1.94 · @1.81

Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.60

Sunderland22%fair 4.57 · @4.10

2.44Expected goals

1.50Everton xG

0.94Sunderland xG

56%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–112%

2–010%

2–19%

0–09%

0–18%

From our goals model: Everton 1.5 – 0.9 Sunderland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Everton to win ✗	51%	1.94	1.81
Double chance	Everton or draw ✗	78%	1.28	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	56%	1.80	1.73
Draw no bet	Everton (draw no bet) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Asian handicap	Sunderland +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	72%	1.39	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	52%	1.92	1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	73%	1.37	1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.12
First team to score	Everton to score first ✓	56%	1.78	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.26	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Everton / FT Everton ✗	30%	3.34	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.85	–

Everton – last 5

DDLWL

10 May	@ Crystal Palace	2–2	D
4 May	vs Manchester City	3–3	D
19 Apr	vs Liverpool	1–2	L
3 Mar	vs Burnley	2–0	W
23 Feb	vs Manchester United	0–1	L

1.6Scored / game

1.6Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Sunderland – last 6

LWLWDL

19 Apr	@ Aston Villa	3–4	L
22 Mar	@ Newcastle	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Port Vale	0–1	L
3 Mar	@ Leeds	1–0	W
28 Feb	@ Bournemouth	1–1	D
22 Feb	vs Fulham	1–3	L

1.3Scored / game

1.7Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	+10	27
2	Brighton	10	7	1	2	+19	22
3	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	+8	21
4	Liverpool	10	5	3	2	+4	18
5	Chelsea	10	5	1	4	+3	16
6	Everton	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Bournemouth	10	4	3	3	+2	15
8	Brentford	10	3	5	2	+5	14
9	Leeds	10	3	5	2	+2	14
10	Aston Villa	10	3	4	3	-3	13
11	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	0	11
14	Ipswich	10	3	2	5	-5	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	-9	9
18	Manchester United	10	1	5	4	-5	8
19	Sunderland	10	2	2	6	-9	8
20	Crystal Palace	10	2	1	7	-14	7

Team

Pts

+10

+19

-3

-1

-3

-5

-2

-4

-9

-5

-9

-14

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Everton vs Sunderland?

Our pick is Everton or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Everton vs Sunderland?

On our numbers Everton have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Sunderland 22%.

How many goals will there be in Everton vs Sunderland?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Everton vs Sunderland?

Our predicted score is Everton 1–0 Sunderland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Everton vs Sunderland?

Everton vs Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Everton v Sunderland: numbers & prediction