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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

PSV Eindhoven v Twente: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Philips Stadion
5–1
FT

Twente

WLWWW
PSV Eindhoven 44%Draw 21%Twente 34% Expected goals 1.89 – 1.70
70%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.42 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultPSV Eindhoven to win ✓44% · @2.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

PSV Eindhoven vs Twente: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

PSV Eindhoven welcome Twente to Philips Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 17 May (13:30 WAT). In the table, PSV Eindhoven are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 12 matches; Twente are 4th (among the top four) with 24. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

PSV Eindhoven, last 4: WLLL Their latest outing: 6–1 win over PEC Zwolle, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Twente, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over FC Volendam, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Twente, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for PSV Eindhoven.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give PSV Eindhoven 1.9 xG, Twente 1.7 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – PSV Eindhoven 44%, draw 21%, Twente 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.30.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Twente. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

PSV Eindhoven44%fair 2.26 · @2.06
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @4.10
Twente34%fair 2.92 · @2.90
3.59Expected goals
1.89PSV Eindhoven xG
1.70Twente xG
69%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 1.9 – 1.7 Twente expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPSV Eindhoven to win ✓44%2.262.06
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.30
Draw no betPSV Eindhoven (draw no bet) ✓56%1.78–
Asian handicapTwente +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓87%1.151.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗50%2.001.95
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.451.42
First team to scorePSV Eindhoven to score first51%1.96–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗36%2.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven ✓26%3.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

PSV Eindhoven – last 4

WLLL
23 Aprvs PEC Zwolle6–1W
22 Mar@ Telstar1–3L
3 Mar@ NEC Nijmegen2–3L
13 Feb@ FC Volendam1–2L
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Twente – last 6

WLWWWD
10 Aprvs FC Volendam2–1W
15 Marvs Utrecht0–2L
8 Mar@ GO Ahead Eagles4–1W
1 Marvs Feyenoord2–0W
22 Febvs Groningen2–1W
15 Feb@ Telstar1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and Twente.

PSV Eindhoven vs Twente head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Twente 34%.

How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Twente, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.

When is PSV Eindhoven vs Twente?

PSV Eindhoven vs Twente (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.