Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior in the Eredivisie, played at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel. In the table, Sparta Rotterdam are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Excelsior are 15th (lower half) with 11. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: LDDLD Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Telstar, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Excelsior, last 5: WDDLL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Utrecht, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Rotterdam 1.8 xG, Excelsior 1.6 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 69% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Rotterdam 44%, draw 22%, Excelsior 34%.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.42.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Rotterdam44%fair 2.26 · @2.04
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.90
Excelsior34%fair 2.94 · @3.10
3.39Expected goals
1.81Sparta Rotterdam xG
1.58Excelsior xG
69%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: Sparta Rotterdam 1.8 – 1.6 Excelsior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Rotterdam to win✗
44%
2.26
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Draw no bet
Sparta Rotterdam (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Excelsior +1 (Asian handicap)✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.25
First team to score
Sparta Rotterdam to score first✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Rotterdam / FT Sparta Rotterdam✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.49
–
Recent results
Sparta Rotterdam – last 5
LDDLD
22 Apr
@ Telstar
1–4
L
5 Apr
@ NAC Breda
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs PEC Zwolle
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–3
L
17 Feb
vs NEC Nijmegen
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Excelsior – last 5
WDDLL
26 Apr
vs Utrecht
5–0
W
12 Apr
@ PEC Zwolle
2–2
D
20 Mar
@ Heracles
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Feyenoord
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Fortuna Sittard
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Rotterdam and Excelsior.
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
On our numbers Sparta Rotterdam have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Excelsior 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
Our predicted score is Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 Excelsior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior?
Sparta Rotterdam vs Excelsior (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
NAC Breda3
FC Volendam1
Heracles1