Jong Ajax 33%Draw 22%Den Bosch 45%Expected goals 1.52 – 1.82
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Picks by market
ResultDen Bosch to win ✗45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.23
Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 13 March: Jong Ajax v Den Bosch in the Eerste Divisie, played at Sportpark De Toekomst. In the table, Jong Ajax are 18th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Den Bosch are 3rd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Ajax, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Eindhoven, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Den Bosch, last 3: DDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Willem II, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Ajax 1.5 xG, Den Bosch 1.8 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Ajax 33%, draw 22%, Den Bosch 45%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.40.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Ajax 1–2 Den Bosch. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Ajax33%fair 3.08 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.85
Den Bosch45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
3.34Expected goals
1.52Jong Ajax xG
1.82Den Bosch xG
65%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.5 – 1.8 Den Bosch expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong Ajax
Den Bosch
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-8%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.54
1.82
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Den Bosch to win✗
45%
2.22
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Draw no bet
Den Bosch (draw no bet)✗
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Jong Ajax +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
First team to score
Den Bosch to score first
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.23
–
Recent results
Jong Ajax – last 5
LWDWL
6 Mar
@ FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
27 Feb
vs Helmond Sport
5–1
W
23 Feb
@ Emmen
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Cambuur
1–2
L
1.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Den Bosch – last 3
DDD
8 Mar
@ Willem II
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Roda
2–2
D
23 Feb
@ Jong AZ
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Den Bosch.
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Den Bosch 45%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 Den Bosch, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch?
Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3