Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗48% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
MVV vs VVV Venlo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
MVV welcome VVV Venlo to De Geusselt for a Eerste Divisie fixture on Friday 13 March (20:00 WAT). In the table, MVV are 8th, upper half, on 0 points after 0 matches; VVV Venlo are 2nd (among the top four) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
MVV, last 3: DDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dordrecht, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
VVV Venlo, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Waalwijk, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give MVV 1.4 xG, VVV Venlo 1.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – MVV 31%, draw 22%, VVV Venlo 48%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (63%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: MVV 1–2 VVV Venlo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
MVV31%fair 3.26 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.75
VVV Venlo48%fair 2.10 · @2.15
3.31Expected goals
1.38MVV xG
1.94VVV Venlo xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
0–17%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: MVV 1.4 – 1.9 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
MVV
VVV Venlo
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-19%
+27%
Goals conceded vs average
+14%
-4%
Our expected goals here
1.40
2.29
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VVV Venlo to win✗
48%
2.10
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.45
Draw no bet
VVV Venlo (draw no bet)✗
61%
1.64
–
Asian handicap
MVV +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
First team to score
VVV Venlo to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
VVV Venlo ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT VVV Venlo / FT VVV Venlo✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
MVV – last 3
DDL
6 Mar
@ Dordrecht
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs De Graafschap
3–3
D
13 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VVV Venlo – last 3
LLD
6 Mar
vs Waalwijk
0–3
L
27 Feb
@ ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and VVV Venlo.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win MVV vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers MVV have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and VVV Venlo 48%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–2 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is MVV vs VVV Venlo?
MVV vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3