Jong Utrecht 52%Draw 20%Helmond Sport 28%Expected goals 1.94 – 1.53
83%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultJong Utrecht to win ✓52% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗83% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Helmond Sport travel to face Jong Utrecht on Friday 13 March in the Eerste Divisie, with Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Jong Utrecht are 20th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong Utrecht, last 4: LLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cambuur, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Helmond Sport, last 4: DLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC OSS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Helmond Sport, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Jong Utrecht.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong Utrecht 1.9 xG, Helmond Sport 1.5 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong Utrecht 52%, draw 20%, Helmond Sport 28%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong Utrecht 1–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong Utrecht52%fair 1.92 · @1.85
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.90
Helmond Sport28%fair 3.55 · @3.65
3.47Expected goals
1.94Jong Utrecht xG
1.53Helmond Sport xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
2–06%
From our goals model: Jong Utrecht 1.9 – 1.5 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong Utrecht
Helmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-6%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.09
1.94
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong Utrecht to win✓
52%
1.92
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Jong Utrecht (draw no bet)✓
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.18
First team to score
Jong Utrecht to score first✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Jong Utrecht ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.69
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong Utrecht / FT Jong Utrecht✗
29%
3.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Jong Utrecht – last 4
LLLD
8 Mar
@ Cambuur
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Almere City FC
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ De Graafschap
0–1
L
16 Feb
vs Willem II
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 4
DLLW
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong Ajax
1–5
L
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Utrecht and Helmond Sport.
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Jong Utrecht have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Helmond Sport 28%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Jong Utrecht 1–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport?
Jong Utrecht vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cambuur1
ADO Den Haag1
Willem II3