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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Waalwijk v Jong AZ: numbers & prediction

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Mandemakers Stadion

Waalwijk

WWDL
2–1
FT

Jong AZ

LLDW
Waalwijk 55%Draw 19%Jong AZ 25% Expected goals 2.17 – 1.48
68%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultWaalwijk to win ✓55% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.42
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.05

Waalwijk vs Jong AZ: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 13 March the Eerste Divisie brings Waalwijk against Jong AZ at Mandemakers Stadion. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Waalwijk are 12th, lower half, on 0 points after 0 matches; Jong AZ are 19th (in the drop zone) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Waalwijk, last 4: WWDL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over VVV Venlo, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Jong AZ, last 4: LLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Emmen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Waalwijk, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Jong AZ.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Waalwijk 2.2 xG, Jong AZ 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Waalwijk 55%, draw 19%, Jong AZ 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.42.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Waalwijk 2–1 Jong AZ. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Waalwijk55%fair 1.80 · @1.80
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.10
Jong AZ25%fair 3.93 · @3.65
3.65Expected goals
2.17Waalwijk xG
1.48Jong AZ xG
67%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.2 – 1.5 Jong AZ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

WaalwijkJong AZ
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average+2%+20%
Goals conceded vs average-10%+26%
Our expected goals here2.341.70

Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultWaalwijk to win ✓55%1.801.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.501.42
Draw no betWaalwijk (draw no bet) ✓69%1.46–
Asian handicapJong AZ +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.171.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68%1.471.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓53%1.891.70
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓71%1.411.30
First team to scoreWaalwijk to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultWaalwijk ahead at half-time ✓41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Waalwijk / FT Waalwijk ✓34%2.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.05–

Recent results

Waalwijk – last 4

WWDL
6 Mar@ VVV Venlo3–0W
27 Febvs FC Eindhoven2–1W
20 Feb@ Cambuur1–1D
13 Febvs Roda1–2L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Jong AZ – last 4

LLDW
9 Marvs Emmen2–3L
27 Feb@ Vitesse0–2L
23 Febvs Den Bosch2–2D
13 Feb@ FC OSS3–0W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and Jong AZ.

Waalwijk vs Jong AZ head-to-head page →

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Heracles141121+2935
2VVV Venlo14923+1529
3Almere City FC14914+1628
4NAC Breda14743+525
5Roda14743+125
6Emmen14815025
7FC Volendam14716+922
8MVV14626-1020
9Den Bosch14545+219
10Vitesse13535-118
11Waalwijk14383+317
12Jong AZ14527+217
13Jong PSV U2114455-417
14Jong Ajax14446-816
15De Graafschap13436-1015
16FC OSS14428-314
17Helmond Sport14338-612
18Dordrecht14338-1612
19Jong Utrecht14329-1111
20FC Eindhoven14329-1311

More Eerste Divisie predictions

League hub
FT Cambuur1 Roda1 152%1.65X24%4.20224%4.50 1.7–1.3xG 1XCambuur or draw 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Emmen0 ADO Den Haag1 119%5.10X21%4.40261%1.55 1.2–2.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 65%@1.45 ✗
FT Jong Ajax3 Den Bosch2 133%3.00X22%3.85245%2.10 1.5–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 64%@1.48 ✓
FT Jong PSV U211 FC Eindhoven2 146%2.15X23%3.85231%2.90 1.9–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.35 ✓
FT Jong Utrecht1 Helmond Sport0 152%1.85X20%3.90228%3.65 1.9–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 83%@1.20 ✗
FT MVV2 VVV Venlo1 131%3.00X22%3.75248%2.15 1.4–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 63%@1.55 ✓
FT FC OSS1 Willem II3 125%3.45X24%3.90251%1.90 1.2–1.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.55 ✗
FT Vitesse1 Almere City FC3 136%2.50X24%3.75241%2.50 1.5–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.38 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?

On our numbers Waalwijk have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jong AZ 25%.

How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?

Our predicted score is Waalwijk 2–1 Jong AZ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Waalwijk vs Jong AZ?

Waalwijk vs Jong AZ (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.