Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Roda to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRoda to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.04
Dordrecht vs Roda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Roda travel to face Dordrecht on Friday 3 April in the Eerste Divisie, with M-Scores Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Dordrecht are 4th, among the top four, on 0 points after 0 matches; Roda are 14th (lower half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Dordrecht, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Jong Utrecht, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Roda, last 5: DLDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Helmond Sport, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dordrecht 1.3 xG, Roda 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dordrecht 36%, draw 24%, Roda 40%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Roda to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dordrecht 1–1 Roda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dordrecht36%fair 2.76 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Roda40%fair 2.52 · @2.75
2.84Expected goals
1.29Dordrecht xG
1.55Roda xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Dordrecht 1.3 – 1.5 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Dordrecht
Roda
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
-23%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
+28%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.14
1.68
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✓
40%
2.52
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.53
Draw no bet
Roda (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Dordrecht +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Roda to score first✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✓
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.04
–
Recent results
Dordrecht – last 6
LDDDLW
20 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
1–3
L
17 Mar
vs FC OSS
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Emmen
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
DLDLDW
20 Mar
vs Helmond Sport
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Cambuur
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Jong PSV U21
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Waalwijk
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dordrecht and Roda.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Dordrecht vs Roda?
On our numbers Dordrecht have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Roda 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dordrecht vs Roda?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dordrecht vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Dordrecht 1–1 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dordrecht vs Roda?
Dordrecht vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at M-Scores Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag4
Cambuur0
Willem II1