Jong AZ 55%Draw 21%Helmond Sport 24%Expected goals 2.39 – 1.65
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultJong AZ to win ✓55% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Jong AZ v Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie, played at AFAS Trainingscomplex. In the table, Jong AZ are 19th, in the drop zone, on 0 points after 0 matches; Helmond Sport are 7th (upper half) with 0. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Jong AZ, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with MVV, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Helmond Sport, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Roda, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Jong AZ, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Helmond Sport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jong AZ 2.4 xG, Helmond Sport 1.7 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 67% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jong AZ 55%, draw 21%, Helmond Sport 24%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jong AZ 2–1 Helmond Sport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jong AZ55%fair 1.82 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Helmond Sport24%fair 4.17 · @3.60
4.05Expected goals
2.39Jong AZ xG
1.65Helmond Sport xG
67%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–17%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
3–25%
From our goals model: Jong AZ 2.4 – 1.7 Helmond Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+20%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+26%
+22%
Our expected goals here
2.65
1.95
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Jong AZ to win✓
55%
1.82
1.85
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Draw no bet
Jong AZ (draw no bet)✓
70%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
Helmond Sport +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
First team to score
Jong AZ to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Jong AZ ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Jong AZ / FT Jong AZ✓
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Jong AZ – last 6
DLLLDW
16 Mar
vs MVV
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Waalwijk
1–2
L
9 Mar
vs Emmen
2–3
L
27 Feb
@ Vitesse
0–2
L
23 Feb
vs Den Bosch
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ FC OSS
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Helmond Sport – last 6
DLLDLL
20 Mar
@ Roda
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Jong Utrecht
0–1
L
6 Mar
vs FC OSS
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Jong Ajax
1–5
L
20 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
1–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong AZ and Helmond Sport.
What is the prediction for Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
On our numbers Jong AZ have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Helmond Sport 24%.
How many goals will there be in Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Our predicted score is Jong AZ 2–1 Helmond Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport?
Jong AZ vs Helmond Sport (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Trainingscomplex.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag4
Cambuur0
Willem II1