Willem II 61%Draw 22%Jong PSV U21 17%Expected goals 1.94 – 0.92
61%
Betarazi pick
Willem II to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultWillem II to win ✓61% · @1.55
Double chanceWillem II or draw ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Willem II vs Jong PSV U21: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jong PSV U21 travel to face Willem II on Friday 3 April in the Eerste Divisie, with Koning Willem II Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Willem II, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over MVV, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Jong PSV U21, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Vitesse, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Willem II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Jong PSV U21.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.9 xG, Jong PSV U21 0.9 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 61%, draw 22%, Jong PSV U21 17%.
Lower-risk option: Willem II or draw (83%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Willem II to win (61%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–0 Jong PSV U21. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II61%fair 1.64 · @1.55
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.40
Jong PSV U2117%fair 5.91 · @4.60
2.86Expected goals
1.94Willem II xG
0.92Jong PSV U21 xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.9 – 0.9 Jong PSV U21 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
Attack vs Eerste Divisie average
+5%
-26%
Goals conceded vs average
-28%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.77
0.85
Our own ratings from every Eerste Divisie result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Willem II to win✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Double chance
Willem II or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.36
Draw no bet
Willem II (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Willem II -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Willem II to score first✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Willem II ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Willem II / FT Willem II✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 6
WWDWLW
22 Mar
@ MVV
5–0
W
13 Mar
@ FC OSS
3–1
W
8 Mar
vs Den Bosch
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Emmen
3–0
W
24 Feb
vs ADO Den Haag
0–1
L
20 Feb
vs Vitesse
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jong PSV U21 – last 6
LLLWDW
20 Mar
vs Vitesse
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Den Bosch
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs FC Eindhoven
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Roda
2–0
W
27 Feb
vs Dordrecht
1–1
D
20 Feb
@ Emmen
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Jong PSV U21.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
Our pick is Willem II to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
On our numbers Willem II have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Jong PSV U21 17%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–0 Jong PSV U21, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Jong PSV U21?
Willem II vs Jong PSV U21 (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ADO Den Haag4
Cambuur0