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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barnet v Chesterfield: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · The Hive Stadium

Barnet

WLL
Sat 28 Feb 2026

Chesterfield

DW
Barnet 56%Draw 22%Chesterfield 22% Expected goals 1.98 – 1.19
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25

9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Barnet to win @ 1.90 – our chance 56% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultBarnet to win56% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.21

Barnet vs Chesterfield: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Saturday 28 February: Barnet v Chesterfield in the League Two, played at The Hive Stadium. In the table, Barnet are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 13 matches; Chesterfield are 10th (upper half) with 19.

Current form

Barnet, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Accrington ST, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barnet 2.0 xG, Chesterfield 1.2 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barnet 56%, draw 22%, Chesterfield 22%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Barnet to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barnet 1–1 Chesterfield. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barnet56%fair 1.79 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.60
Chesterfield22%fair 4.53 · @3.75
3.18Expected goals
1.98Barnet xG
1.19Chesterfield xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–08%
2–08%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Barnet 2.0 – 1.2 Chesterfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BarnetChesterfield
Attack vs League Two average+42%+18%
Goals conceded vs average+8%+9%
Our expected goals here2.401.46

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarnet to win56%1.791.90 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win78%1.281.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score60%1.651.62
Draw no betBarnet (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapChesterfield +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals79%1.261.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.571.42
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals80%1.251.15
First team to scoreBarnet to score first60%1.67–
Half-time resultBarnet ahead at half-time42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barnet / FT Barnet35%2.85–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.21–

Recent results

Barnet – last 3

WLL
24 Feb@ Accrington ST1–0W
21 Feb@ Colchester1–4L
17 Febvs Swindon Town1–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chesterfield – last 2

DW
21 Feb@ Crawley Town1–1D
17 Febvs Gillingham1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Barnet and Chesterfield.

Barnet vs Chesterfield head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub
FT Cambridge United1 Milton Keynes Dons1 139%2.36X29%2.94232%3.25 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✓
FT Shrewsbury1 Walsall2 139%2.25X27%3.00234%3.40 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.50 ✓
FT Swindon Town1 Bristol Rovers1 153%1.90X26%3.50221%3.90 1.6–1.0xG 1XSwindon Town or draw 79%@1.25 ✓
– Barrow Gillingham 138%2.80X26%3.15236%2.52 1.4–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25
– Bromley Accrington ST 152%1.71X26%3.50222%5.00 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25
– Colchester Salford City 137%2.22X25%3.35238%3.10 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30
– Crewe Tranmere 146%2.08X26%3.40228%3.40 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28
– Notts County Grimsby 150%2.14X24%3.30226%3.35 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barnet vs Chesterfield?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Barnet vs Chesterfield?

On our numbers Barnet have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chesterfield 22%.

How many goals will there be in Barnet vs Chesterfield?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barnet vs Chesterfield?

Our predicted score is Barnet 1–1 Chesterfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Barnet vs Chesterfield?

Barnet vs Chesterfield (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at The Hive Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.