Notts County 50%Draw 24%Grimsby 26%Expected goals 1.74 – 1.12
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.33
8/10Rating
1.33Odds
1
Value bet: Notts County to win @ 2.14 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultNotts County to win50% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.29
Notts County vs Grimsby: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 February the League Two brings Notts County against Grimsby at Meadow Lane. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Grimsby, last 3: LDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Bristol Rovers, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Notts County 1.7 xG, Grimsby 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Notts County 50%, draw 24%, Grimsby 26%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Notts County to win @2.14 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Notts County 1–1 Grimsby. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Notts County50%fair 1.99 · @2.14
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30
Grimsby26%fair 3.90 · @3.35
2.86Expected goals
1.74Notts County xG
1.12Grimsby xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Notts County 1.7 – 1.1 Grimsby expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Notts County
Grimsby
Attack vs League Two average
+28%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+5%
Our expected goals here
2.08
1.24
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notts County to win
50%
1.99
2.14 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
1.73
Draw no bet
Notts County (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Grimsby +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.34
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.96
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Notts County to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notts County / FT Notts County
32%
3.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Notts County – last 2
WL
21 Feb
vs Tranmere
5–0
W
17 Feb
@ Shrewsbury
0–1
L
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Grimsby – last 3
LDL
21 Feb
@ Bristol Rovers
1–3
L
18 Feb
vs Walsall
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Wolves
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notts County and Grimsby.
What is the prediction for Notts County vs Grimsby?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Notts County vs Grimsby?
On our numbers Notts County have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Grimsby 26%.
How many goals will there be in Notts County vs Grimsby?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notts County vs Grimsby?
Our predicted score is Notts County 1–1 Grimsby, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Notts County vs Grimsby?
Notts County vs Grimsby (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Meadow Lane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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