Wednesday 11 November 2026 20 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers: numbers & prediction

League Two · England · County Ground

Swindon Town

LW
1–1
FT

Bristol Rovers

WL
Swindon Town 53%Draw 26%Bristol Rovers 21% Expected goals 1.64 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick

Swindon Town or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSwindon Town to win ✗53% · @1.90
Double chanceSwindon Town or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Swindon Town welcome Bristol Rovers to County Ground for a League Two fixture on Saturday 28 February (13:30 WAT). In the table, Swindon Town are 13th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Bristol Rovers are 17th (lower half) with 16. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Swindon Town 1.6 xG, Bristol Rovers 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Swindon Town 53%, draw 26%, Bristol Rovers 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Swindon Town or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Swindon Town or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swindon Town 1–0 Bristol Rovers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Swindon Town53%fair 1.87 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.50
Bristol Rovers21%fair 4.79 · @3.90
2.61Expected goals
1.64Swindon Town xG
0.97Bristol Rovers xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Swindon Town 1.6 – 1.0 Bristol Rovers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Swindon TownBristol Rovers
Attack vs League Two average-16%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-10%+13%
Our expected goals here1.470.93

Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSwindon Town to win ✗53%1.871.90
Double chanceSwindon Town or draw ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.67
Draw no betSwindon Town (draw no bet)72%1.39–
Asian handicapBristol Rovers +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.361.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.001.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.401.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.12
First team to scoreSwindon Town to score first ✗58%1.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Swindon Town / FT Swindon Town ✗32%3.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Swindon Town – last 2

LW
21 Febvs Crewe1–2L
17 Feb@ Barnet2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Bristol Rovers – last 2

WL
21 Febvs Grimsby3–1W
17 Feb@ Oldham0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Swindon Town and Bristol Rovers.

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers head-to-head page →

League Two table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford City141013+1031
2Barnet13751+1026
3Walsall13571+922
4Crewe14572022
5Cheltenham14635-221
6Grimsby14554+620
7York14554+320
8Gillingham14554+120
9Accrington ST14473+619
10Chesterfield14545+319
11Tranmere14473+219
12Exeter City14545+219
13Swindon Town14545-219
14Newport County14464+318
15Shrewsbury14536-518
16Fleetwood Town14455017
17Bristol Rovers14518-616
18Oldham14437-415
19Port Vale12435-415
20Rochdale14437-915
21Northampton13355-114
22Rotherham14266-712
23Colchester13265-712
24Crawley Town12237-89

More League Two predictions

League hub
FT Cambridge United1 Milton Keynes Dons1 139%2.36X29%2.94232%3.25 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.48 ✓
FT Shrewsbury1 Walsall2 139%2.25X27%3.00234%3.40 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.50 ✓
– Barnet Chesterfield 156%1.90X22%3.60222%3.75 2.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.25
– Barrow Gillingham 138%2.80X26%3.15236%2.52 1.4–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.25
– Bromley Accrington ST 152%1.71X26%3.50222%5.00 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25
– Colchester Salford City 137%2.22X25%3.35238%3.10 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30
– Crewe Tranmere 146%2.08X26%3.40228%3.40 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.28
– Notts County Grimsby 150%2.14X24%3.30226%3.35 1.7–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.33

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Our pick is Swindon Town or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?

On our numbers Swindon Town have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Bristol Rovers 21%.

How many goals will there be in Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Our predicted score is Swindon Town 1–0 Bristol Rovers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers?

Swindon Town vs Bristol Rovers (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at County Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.