Colchester 37%Draw 25%Salford City 38%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.44
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30
8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2
Value bet: Salford City to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultSalford City to win38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.34
Colchester vs Salford City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Salford City travel to face Colchester on Saturday 28 February in the League Two, with Colchester Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Colchester are 23rd, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 13 matches; Salford City are 1st (leading the league) with 31. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Salford City, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Shrewsbury, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Colchester 1.2 xG, Salford City 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Colchester 37%, draw 25%, Salford City 38%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Salford City to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Colchester 1–1 Salford City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Colchester37%fair 2.71 · @2.22
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.35
Salford City38%fair 2.66 · @3.10
2.66Expected goals
1.23Colchester xG
1.44Salford City xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Colchester 1.2 – 1.4 Salford City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Colchester
Salford City
Attack vs League Two average
-20%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-12%
Our expected goals here
1.09
1.59
Our own ratings from every League Two result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Salford City to win
38%
2.66
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.78
1.70
Draw no bet
Salford City (draw no bet)
50%
1.98
–
Asian handicap
Colchester +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
86%
1.16
1.11
First team to score
Salford City to score first
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Salford City / FT Salford City
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Colchester – last 2
WD
21 Feb
vs Barnet
4–1
W
17 Feb
@ Cambridge United
1–1
D
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Salford City – last 3
LLL
24 Feb
vs Shrewsbury
1–2
L
21 Feb
@ Cheltenham
2–3
L
17 Feb
vs Newport County
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colchester and Salford City.
What is the prediction for Colchester vs Salford City?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Colchester vs Salford City?
On our numbers Colchester have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Salford City 38%.
How many goals will there be in Colchester vs Salford City?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colchester vs Salford City?
Our predicted score is Colchester 1–1 Salford City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Colchester vs Salford City?
Colchester vs Salford City (League Two) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Colchester Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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