Value bet: Leicester to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStoke City to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Stoke City vs Leicester: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Championship brings Stoke City against Leicester at Bet365 Stadium. Kick-off: 13:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stoke City 1.4 xG, Leicester 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stoke City 40%, draw 25%, Leicester 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.82.
Price worth noting: Leicester to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stoke City 1–1 Leicester. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stoke City40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
Leicester35%fair 2.86 · @3.10
2.69Expected goals
1.39Stoke City xG
1.30Leicester xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Stoke City 1.4 – 1.3 Leicester expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stoke City to win✗
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.82
Draw no bet
Stoke City (draw no bet)
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Leicester +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.71
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.08
First team to score
Stoke City to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stoke City / FT Stoke City✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Stoke City – last 1
L
15 Feb
vs Fulham
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Leicester
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stoke City and Leicester.
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Leicester?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Stoke City vs Leicester?
On our numbers Stoke City have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Leicester 35%.
How many goals will there be in Stoke City vs Leicester?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Leicester?
Our predicted score is Stoke City 1–1 Leicester, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Stoke City vs Leicester?
Stoke City vs Leicester (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Bet365 Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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