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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Swansea v Bristol City: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Swansea.com Stadium

Bristol City

Swansea 45%Draw 25%Bristol City 30% Expected goals 1.49 – 1.10

73%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating

1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultSwansea to win ✓45% · @2.15

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.78

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.91

Swansea vs Bristol City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Bristol City travel to face Swansea on Saturday 21 February in the Championship, with Swansea.com Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Swansea are 6th, upper half, on 26 points after 15 matches; Bristol City are 17th (lower half) with 18.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Swansea 1.5 xG, Bristol City 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Swansea 45%, draw 25%, Bristol City 30%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.78.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Swansea 1–1 Bristol City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Swansea45%fair 2.20 · @2.15

Draw25%fair 3.99 · @3.50

Bristol City30%fair 3.38 · @3.30

2.59Expected goals

1.49Swansea xG

1.10Bristol City xG

58%Both score

48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

1–011%

2–19%

2–08%

0–18%

0–08%

From our goals model: Swansea 1.5 – 1.1 Bristol City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Swansea to win ✓	45%	2.20	2.15
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.33	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	58%	1.72	1.78
Draw no bet	Swansea (draw no bet) ✓	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Bristol City +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.93	1.78
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	73%	1.37	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	1.10
First team to score	Swansea to score first ✓	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	43%	2.33	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Swansea / FT Swansea ✓	27%	3.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.91	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Swansea and Bristol City.

Swansea vs Bristol City head-to-head page →

Championship table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

More Championship predictions

League hub

West Brom0

Coventry2 137%3.40X24%3.50239%2.10 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.29 ✓

Stoke City2

Leicester2 140%2.25X25%3.40235%3.10 1.4–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 ✓

Hull City1

QPR3 142%2.30X27%3.40231%3.00 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.27 ✗

Southampton1

Charlton1 165%1.57X20%4.33215%5.25 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓

Watford2

Derby0 141%2.20X26%3.30232%3.25 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.23 ✓

Middlesbrough0

Oxford United0 155%1.42X22%4.80223%7.00 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.24 ✗

Millwall1

Portsmouth3 149%1.81X27%3.45224%4.35 1.4–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✗

Wrexham5

Ipswich3 133%3.40X25%3.40242%2.15 1.3–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Swansea vs Bristol City?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Swansea vs Bristol City?

On our numbers Swansea have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bristol City 30%.

How many goals will there be in Swansea vs Bristol City?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Swansea vs Bristol City?

Our predicted score is Swansea 1–1 Bristol City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Swansea vs Bristol City?

Swansea vs Bristol City (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Swansea.com Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.