Ipswich v Birmingham Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultIpswich to win ✓53% · @1.63

Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.79

Ipswich vs Birmingham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Birmingham travel to face Ipswich on Monday 6 April in the Championship, with Portman Road the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Ipswich, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Stoke City, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Birmingham, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Blackburn, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ipswich 1.6 xG, Birmingham 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Ipswich 53%, draw 23%, Birmingham 24%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ipswich 1–1 Birmingham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ipswich53%fair 1.89 · @1.63

Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.80

Birmingham24%fair 4.20 · @5.25

2.89Expected goals

1.62Ipswich xG

1.27Birmingham xG

54%Both score

53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%

2–19%

1–09%

2–07%

1–27%

0–17%

From our goals model: Ipswich 1.6 – 1.3 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Ipswich to win ✓	53%	1.89	1.63
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	77%	1.30	1.20
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	54%	1.86	1.85
Draw no bet	Ipswich (draw no bet) ✓	69%	1.45	–
Asian handicap	Birmingham +1 (Asian handicap)	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	53%	1.89	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.11
First team to score	Ipswich to score first	53%	1.89	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	40%	2.48	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Ipswich / FT Ipswich ✓	27%	3.65	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	9%	10.79	–

Ipswich – last 5

DWWLL

10 Mar	@ Stoke City	3–3	D
3 Mar	vs Hull City	1–0	W
24 Feb	@ Watford	2–0	W
21 Feb	@ Wrexham	3–5	L
13 Feb	@ Wrexham	0–1	L

1.8Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Birmingham – last 5

LWLLW

3 Apr	vs Blackburn	0–1	L
11 Mar	vs QPR	1–0	W
2 Mar	vs Middlesbrough	1–3	L
25 Feb	@ Millwall	0–3	L
21 Feb	@ Norwich	2–1	W

0.8Scored / game

1.6Conceded / game

40%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ipswich vs Birmingham?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Ipswich vs Birmingham?

On our numbers Ipswich have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Birmingham 24%.

How many goals will there be in Ipswich vs Birmingham?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ipswich vs Birmingham?

Our predicted score is Ipswich 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Ipswich vs Birmingham?

Ipswich vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Portman Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Ipswich v Birmingham: numbers & prediction

Ipswich