Millwall v Norwich Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultMillwall to win ✗39% · @2.18

Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28

Millwall vs Norwich: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Millwall welcome Norwich to The Den for a Championship fixture on Monday 6 April (13:00 WAT). In the table, Millwall are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 15 matches; Norwich are 12th (upper half) with 21. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Millwall, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Middlesbrough, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Norwich, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Portsmouth, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Millwall, collecting 2.4 points per game to 1.7 for Norwich.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millwall 1.4 xG, Norwich 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 62%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Millwall 39%, draw 24%, Norwich 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Norwich to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millwall 1–1 Norwich. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millwall39%fair 2.55 · @2.18

Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50

Norwich37%fair 2.73 · @3.10

2.80Expected goals

1.37Millwall xG

1.43Norwich xG

62%Both score

52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–19%

1–29%

1–08%

2–18%

0–26%

From our goals model: Millwall 1.4 – 1.4 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Millwall to win ✗	39%	2.55	2.18
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	62%	1.61	1.65
Draw no bet	Millwall (draw no bet) ✗	52%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	Millwall +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	61%	1.64	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✓	52%	1.91	1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	69%	1.45	1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	1.12
First team to score	Norwich to score first	48%	2.08	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	41%	2.42	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Norwich / FT Norwich ✗	23%	4.40	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.28	–

Millwall – last 5

WWWWL

3 Apr	@ Middlesbrough	2–1	W
10 Mar	vs Derby	1–0	W
7 Mar	@ Hull City	3–1	W
25 Feb	vs Birmingham	3–0	W
21 Feb	vs Portsmouth	1–3	L

2.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

60%Both scored

80%Over 2.5

Norwich – last 6

DLWLWW

3 Apr	vs Portsmouth	1–1	D
18 Mar	@ Southampton	0–1	L
11 Mar	vs Sheffield Utd	2–1	W
8 Mar	@ Leeds	0–3	L
28 Feb	@ Leicester	2–0	W
25 Feb	vs Sheffield Wednesday	2–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millwall vs Norwich?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Millwall vs Norwich?

On our numbers Millwall have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Norwich 37%.

How many goals will there be in Millwall vs Norwich?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millwall vs Norwich?

Our predicted score is Millwall 1–1 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Millwall vs Norwich?

Millwall vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at The Den.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Millwall v Norwich: numbers & prediction