Portsmouth v Oxford United Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultPortsmouth to win ✗44% · @1.90

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.25

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.03

Portsmouth vs Oxford United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Monday 6 April: Portsmouth v Oxford United in the Championship, played at Fratton Park.

Current form

Portsmouth, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Norwich, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Oxford United, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hull City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Oxford United, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Portsmouth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Portsmouth 1.2 xG, Oxford United 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Portsmouth 44%, draw 28%, Oxford United 29%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Oxford United to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 29%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portsmouth 1–1 Oxford United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Portsmouth44%fair 2.28 · @1.90

Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.35

Oxford United29%fair 3.50 · @4.10

2.32Expected goals

1.16Portsmouth xG

1.16Oxford United xG

52%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

1–28%

From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.2 – 1.2 Oxford United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Portsmouth to win ✗	44%	2.28	1.90
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.38	1.25
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.91	1.95
Draw no bet	Portsmouth (draw no bet)	61%	1.65	–
Asian handicap	Oxford United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	64%	1.56	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	67%	1.48	1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.72	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	79%	1.27	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	1.07
First team to score	Portsmouth to score first ✓	45%	2.22	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth ✗	20%	4.93	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	13.03	–

Portsmouth – last 6

DLLDLL

3 Apr	@ Norwich	1–1	D
16 Mar	vs Derby	0–1	L
10 Mar	vs Swansea	1–2	L
7 Mar	@ Blackburn	1–1	D
28 Feb	vs Hull City	0–1	L
24 Feb	@ Wrexham	1–2	L

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Oxford United – last 6

DWWLDL

3 Apr	vs Hull City	1–1	D
11 Mar	vs Blackburn	1–0	W
6 Mar	@ Preston	3–1	W
25 Feb	@ Stoke City	1–2	L
21 Feb	@ Middlesbrough	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Sunderland	0–1	L

1.0Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs Oxford United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Portsmouth vs Oxford United?

On our numbers Portsmouth have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Oxford United 29%.

How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs Oxford United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs Oxford United?

Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 Oxford United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Portsmouth vs Oxford United?

Portsmouth vs Oxford United (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Portsmouth v Oxford United: numbers & prediction