Watford v Charlton Prediction & Expected Goals (6 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultWatford to win50% · @1.90

Double chanceWatford or draw77% · @1.22

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.91

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.28

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–013% · fair 7.45

Watford vs Charlton: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Watford welcome Charlton to Vicarage Road for a Championship fixture on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Watford are 20th, lower half, on 15 points after 15 matches; Charlton are 19th (lower half) with 17. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Watford, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to QPR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Charlton, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bristol City, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.4 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Watford, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Charlton.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Watford 1.4 xG, Charlton 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Watford 50%, draw 27%, Charlton 23%.
Lower-risk option: Watford or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Watford 1–0 Charlton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Watford50%fair 2.01 · @1.90

Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.40

Charlton23%fair 4.39 · @4.00

2.33Expected goals

1.37Watford xG

0.95Charlton xG

50%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–113%

0–010%

0–19%

2–09%

2–19%

From our goals model: Watford 1.4 – 1.0 Charlton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Watford to win	50%	2.01	1.90
Double chance	Watford or draw	77%	1.29	1.22
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	50%	2.00	1.91
Draw no bet	Watford (draw no bet)	69%	1.46	–
Asian handicap	Charlton +1 (Asian handicap)	71%	1.42	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	69%	1.45	1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	56%	1.79	1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	76%	1.31	1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals	89%	1.12	1.09
First team to score	Watford to score first	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	46%	2.19	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Watford / FT Watford	27%	3.66	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0	13%	7.45	–

Watford – last 6

LWDWLW

3 Apr	@ QPR	1–2	L
17 Mar	vs Wrexham	3–1	W
10 Mar	@ Sheffield Wednesday	1–1	D
27 Feb	@ Bristol City	2–1	W
24 Feb	vs Ipswich	0–2	L
21 Feb	vs Derby	2–0	W

1.5Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Charlton – last 5

LWDDL

3 Apr	vs Bristol City	1–2	L
11 Mar	@ Middlesbrough	1–0	W
24 Feb	@ West Brom	1–1	D
21 Feb	@ Southampton	1–1	D
17 Feb	vs Portsmouth	1–3	L

1.0Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

80%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Birmingham	15	8	5	2	+14	29
2	Middlesbrough	15	8	5	2	+11	29
3	Stoke City	15	9	2	4	+6	29
4	Wolves	15	8	4	3	+8	28
5	West Brom	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Swansea	15	8	2	5	+4	26
7	Southampton	15	8	4	3	+14	24
8	QPR	15	6	6	3	+6	24
9	West Ham	15	6	5	4	+14	23
10	Sheffield Utd	15	6	4	5	+2	22
11	Portsmouth	15	6	4	5	+2	22
12	Norwich	15	7	0	8	+8	21
13	Blackburn	15	6	3	6	-1	21
14	Cardiff	15	4	6	5	0	18
15	Wrexham	15	4	6	5	-2	18
16	Millwall	15	5	3	7	-4	18
17	Bristol City	15	5	3	7	-8	18
18	Bolton	15	5	2	8	-9	17
19	Charlton	15	4	5	6	-10	17
20	Watford	15	4	3	8	-10	15
21	Lincoln	15	4	3	8	-11	15
22	Burnley	15	1	7	7	-9	10
23	Derby	15	2	4	9	-16	10
24	Preston	15	2	2	11	-17	8

Team

Pts

+14

+11

+14

+14

-1

-2

-4

-8

-9

-10

-10

-11

-9

-16

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Watford vs Charlton?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Watford vs Charlton?

On our numbers Watford have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Charlton 23%.

How many goals will there be in Watford vs Charlton?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Watford vs Charlton?

Our predicted score is Watford 1–0 Charlton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Watford vs Charlton?

Watford vs Charlton (Championship) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Vicarage Road.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Watford v Charlton: numbers & prediction