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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Oxford United v Wrexham: numbers & prediction

Championship · England · Kassam Stadium

Oxford United

DDWWL
0–1
FT

Wrexham

LLDLW
Oxford United 44%Draw 26%Wrexham 30% Expected goals 1.50 – 0.96
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1

Value bet: Oxford United to win @ 2.62 – our chance 44% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultOxford United to win ✗44% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83

Oxford United vs Wrexham: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 21 April: Oxford United v Wrexham in the Championship, played at Kassam Stadium.

Current form

Oxford United, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Portsmouth, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Wrexham, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Birmingham, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Oxford United, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Wrexham.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oxford United 1.5 xG, Wrexham 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Oxford United 44%, draw 26%, Wrexham 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: Oxford United to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 44%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oxford United 1–0 Wrexham. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oxford United44%fair 2.27 · @2.62
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.25
Wrexham30%fair 3.32 · @2.62
2.46Expected goals
1.50Oxford United xG
0.96Wrexham xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%

From our goals model: Oxford United 1.5 – 1.0 Wrexham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOxford United to win ✗44%2.272.62 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.851.80
Draw no betOxford United (draw no bet) ✗59%1.68–
Asian handicapWrexham +1 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.431.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.821.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.08
First team to scoreOxford United to score first ✗56%1.79–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Oxford United / FT Oxford United ✗30%3.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

Oxford United – last 6

DDWWLD
6 Apr@ Portsmouth2–2D
3 Aprvs Hull City1–1D
11 Marvs Blackburn1–0W
6 Mar@ Preston3–1W
25 Feb@ Stoke City1–2L
21 Feb@ Middlesbrough0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Wrexham – last 6

LLDLWL
12 Apr@ Birmingham0–2L
7 Aprvs Southampton1–5L
3 Apr@ West Brom2–2D
17 Mar@ Watford1–3L
13 Marvs Swansea2–0W
10 Marvs Hull City1–2L
1.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Oxford United and Wrexham.

Oxford United vs Wrexham head-to-head page →

Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Birmingham15852+1429
2Middlesbrough15852+1129
3Stoke City15924+629
4Wolves15843+828
5West Brom15843+828
6Swansea15825+426
7Southampton15843+1424
8QPR15663+624
9West Ham15654+1423
10Sheffield Utd15645+222
11Portsmouth15645+222
12Norwich15708+821
13Blackburn15636-121
14Cardiff15465018
15Wrexham15465-218
16Millwall15537-418
17Bristol City15537-818
18Bolton15528-917
19Charlton15456-1017
20Watford15438-1015
21Lincoln15438-1115
22Burnley15177-910
23Derby15249-1610
24Preston152211-178

More Championship predictions

League hub
FT Norwich2 Derby1 155%1.96X22%3.50223%3.70 2.0–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✓
FT Coventry5 Portsmouth1 156%1.64X23%3.80221%5.00 1.8–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT QPR1 Swansea2 145%2.25X25%3.30230%3.05 1.6–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 74%@1.30 ✓
FT West Brom3 Watford0 159%1.81X22%3.55218%4.30 1.8–0.8xG 1XWest Brom or draw 82%@1.20 ✓
FT Southampton2 Bristol City2 166%1.42X21%4.35213%7.30 2.0–0.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Stoke City1 Millwall3 133%3.75X24%3.55243%1.91 1.3–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✗
FT Leicester2 Hull City2 144%2.06X25%3.60231%3.25 1.5–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oxford United vs Wrexham?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Oxford United vs Wrexham?

On our numbers Oxford United have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Wrexham 30%.

How many goals will there be in Oxford United vs Wrexham?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oxford United vs Wrexham?

Our predicted score is Oxford United 1–0 Wrexham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Oxford United vs Wrexham?

Oxford United vs Wrexham (Championship) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Kassam Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.